public void RunAnalyzing()
{
var allSeasons = leagueRepo.GetAllLeagueSeasons(leagueRepo.GetLaLiga());
foreach (var season in allSeasons)
{
var standingTable = systemRepo.GetStandingTable(season);
if (!standingTable.AnalysisDone)
{
AnalyzeLeagueSeason(season, standingTable);
}
else
{
Console.WriteLine($"Season: {season.LeagueSeasonId} [{season.StartYear}-{season.StartYear + 1}] have been already analyzed. Skip.");
}
}
}
public LeagueModule()
{
Get[SharedRoutes.AllLeagues] = x => {
var model = leagueRepo.GetAllLeagues().Select(Mapper.Map <LeagueDto>);
return(Response.AsJson(model));
};
Get[SharedRoutes.AllLeagueSeasons] = parameters => {
var leagueId = (int)parameters.leagueId;
var model = leagueRepo.GetAllLeagueSeasons(leagueId).Select(Mapper.Map <LeagueSeasonDto>).OrderBy(x => x.StartYear);
return(Response.AsJson(model));
};
Get[SharedRoutes.LeagueInfo] = parameters => {
var leagueId = (int)parameters.leagueId;
var model = leagueRepo.GetAllLeagues().Where(l => l.LeagueId == leagueId).Select(Mapper.Map <LeagueInfoDto>).OrderBy(x => x.LeagueName);
return(Response.AsJson(model));
};
}
public static void CheckRoundStats(PredictionData data, Game game)
{
var leagueRepo = new LeagueDataRepository();
var analysisRepo = new AnalysisDataRepository();
var allSeasons = leagueRepo.GetAllLeagueSeasons(leagueRepo.GetLaLiga()).OrderByDescending(s => s.StartYear).ToList();
int currentSeasonId = allSeasons.First().LeagueSeasonId;
var currentSeasonRounds = leagueRepo.GetCurrentSeasonRounds(currentSeasonId);
currentSeasonRounds = currentSeasonRounds.Where(r => r.RoundNumber <= game.SeasonRound.RoundNumber && CheckRound(r))
.OrderByDescending(r => r.RoundNumber).Take(5).ToList();
var currentSeasonRoundsStats = analysisRepo.GetAverageRoundStats(currentSeasonId);
var previousSeasonRoundsStats = allSeasons.Count > 1 ? analysisRepo.GetAverageRoundStats(allSeasons[1].LeagueSeasonId) : null;
var previous2SeasonRoundsStats = allSeasons.Count > 2 ? analysisRepo.GetAverageRoundStats(allSeasons[2].LeagueSeasonId) : null;
//average
var averageHomeWins = (previous2SeasonRoundsStats.HomeWinsCount_Average + previousSeasonRoundsStats.HomeWinsCount_Average) / 2;
var averagDraws = (previous2SeasonRoundsStats.DrawsCount_Average + previousSeasonRoundsStats.DrawsCount_Average) / 2;
var averageAwayWins = (previous2SeasonRoundsStats.AwayWinsCount_Average + previousSeasonRoundsStats.AwayWinsCount_Average) / 2;
var averageBttsYes = (previous2SeasonRoundsStats.BTTS_Yes_Average + previousSeasonRoundsStats.BTTS_Yes_Average) / 2;
var averageBttsNo = (previous2SeasonRoundsStats.BTTS_No_Average + previousSeasonRoundsStats.BTTS_No_Average) / 2;
var averageTotalOver = (previous2SeasonRoundsStats.GamesOver2_5_Average + previousSeasonRoundsStats.GamesOver2_5_Average) / 2;
var averagTotalUnder = (previous2SeasonRoundsStats.GamesUnder2_5_Average + previousSeasonRoundsStats.GamesUnder2_5_Average) / 2;
//get maximal diff compared current season with last seasons
var currentDiffHomeWins = averageHomeWins - currentSeasonRoundsStats.HomeWinsCount_Average;
var currentDiffDraws = averagDraws - currentSeasonRoundsStats.DrawsCount_Average;
var currentDiffAwayWins = averageAwayWins - currentSeasonRoundsStats.AwayWinsCount_Average;
var currentDiffBttsYes = averageBttsYes - currentSeasonRoundsStats.BTTS_Yes_Average;
var currentDiffBttsNo = averageBttsNo - currentSeasonRoundsStats.BTTS_No_Average;
var currentDiffTotalOver = averageTotalOver - currentSeasonRoundsStats.GamesOver2_5_Average;
var currentDiffTotalUnder = averagTotalUnder - currentSeasonRoundsStats.GamesUnder2_5_Average;
var maxDiff = currentDiffHomeWins;
if (currentDiffDraws > maxDiff)
{
maxDiff = currentDiffDraws;
}
if (currentDiffAwayWins > maxDiff)
{
maxDiff = currentDiffAwayWins;
}
if (maxDiff == currentDiffHomeWins)
{
data.CalculatedProbabilities.HomeWinProbability *= RoundStatsCoef;
}
if (maxDiff == currentDiffDraws)
{
data.CalculatedProbabilities.DrawProbability *= RoundStatsCoef;
}
if (maxDiff == currentDiffAwayWins)
{
data.CalculatedProbabilities.AwayWinProbability *= RoundStatsCoef;
}
maxDiff = currentDiffBttsYes;
if (currentDiffBttsNo > maxDiff)
{
maxDiff = currentDiffBttsNo;
}
if (maxDiff == currentDiffBttsYes)
{
data.CalculatedProbabilities.BttsYesProbability *= RoundStatsCoef;
}
if (maxDiff == currentDiffBttsNo)
{
data.CalculatedProbabilities.BttsNoProbability *= RoundStatsCoef;
}
maxDiff = currentDiffTotalOver;
if (currentDiffTotalUnder > maxDiff)
{
maxDiff = currentDiffTotalUnder;
}
if (maxDiff == currentDiffTotalOver)
{
data.CalculatedProbabilities.TotalOverProbability *= RoundStatsCoef;
}
if (maxDiff == currentDiffTotalUnder)
{
data.CalculatedProbabilities.TotalUnderProbability *= RoundStatsCoef;
}
//get maximal diff compared last 5 rounds with last seasons
currentDiffHomeWins = 0;
currentDiffDraws = 0;
currentDiffAwayWins = 0;
currentDiffBttsYes = 0;
currentDiffBttsNo = 0;
currentDiffTotalOver = 0;
currentDiffTotalUnder = 0;
int i = 1;
foreach (var round in currentSeasonRounds)
{
currentDiffHomeWins += (averageHomeWins - round.HomeWinsCount) / i;
currentDiffDraws += (averagDraws - round.DrawsCount) / i;
currentDiffAwayWins += (averageAwayWins - round.AwayWinsCount) / i;
currentDiffBttsYes += (averageBttsYes - round.BTTS_Yes) / i;
currentDiffBttsNo += (averageBttsNo - round.BTTS_No) / i;
currentDiffTotalOver += (averageTotalOver - round.GamesOver2_5) / i;
currentDiffTotalUnder += (averagTotalUnder - round.GamesUnder2_5) / i;
i++;
}
maxDiff = currentDiffHomeWins;
if (currentDiffDraws > maxDiff)
{
maxDiff = currentDiffDraws;
}
if (currentDiffAwayWins > maxDiff)
{
maxDiff = currentDiffAwayWins;
}
if (maxDiff == currentDiffHomeWins)
{
data.CalculatedProbabilities.HomeWinProbability *= RoundStatsCoefLastRounds;
}
if (maxDiff == currentDiffDraws)
{
data.CalculatedProbabilities.DrawProbability *= RoundStatsCoefLastRounds;
}
if (maxDiff == currentDiffAwayWins)
{
data.CalculatedProbabilities.AwayWinProbability *= RoundStatsCoefLastRounds;
}
maxDiff = currentDiffBttsYes;
if (currentDiffBttsNo > maxDiff)
{
maxDiff = currentDiffBttsNo;
}
if (maxDiff == currentDiffBttsYes)
{
data.CalculatedProbabilities.BttsYesProbability *= RoundStatsCoefLastRounds;
}
if (maxDiff == currentDiffBttsNo)
{
data.CalculatedProbabilities.BttsNoProbability *= RoundStatsCoefLastRounds;
}
maxDiff = currentDiffTotalOver;
if (currentDiffTotalUnder > maxDiff)
{
maxDiff = currentDiffTotalUnder;
}
if (maxDiff == currentDiffTotalOver)
{
data.CalculatedProbabilities.TotalOverProbability *= RoundStatsCoefLastRounds;
}
if (maxDiff == currentDiffTotalUnder)
{
data.CalculatedProbabilities.TotalUnderProbability *= RoundStatsCoefLastRounds;
}
}
