public static void PrintReportForNextDays(int daysToGet)
{
var matches = PremierLeagueMainProject.GetNextMatches(daysToGet);
var combinedLetterDict = LettersSequenceCalculator.GetCombinedLettersDictionary();
var attributeDict = SecondaryStatsCalculator.BuildAttributesDictionary(3);
var attributeClashingMap = MainCalculator.BuildAttributeMatchMap();
foreach (var match in matches)
{
Console.WriteLine(match.HomeTeam + " Vs. " + match.AwayTeam);
CreateMatchReport(combinedLetterDict, attributeDict, attributeClashingMap, match.HomeTeam, match.AwayTeam, 3);
}
}
public static void PrintReportForNextDaysNewVersion(int daysToGet, int competitionId, bool withAttr = false)
{
Console.WriteLine($"Started: {DateTime.Now.Hour}:{DateTime.Now.Minute}");
var matches = PremierLeagueMainProject.GetNextMatches(daysToGet);
Console.WriteLine($"Got {matches.Count} new matches");
var combinedLetterDict = LettersSequenceCalculator.GetCombinedLettersDictionary();
var attributeClashingMap = new List <MainCalculator.AttributesMatch>();
var attributeDict = new Dictionary <int, List <DataObjects.AttributeType> >();
if (withAttr)
{
Console.WriteLine("Starting building attributes dictionary");
attributeDict = SecondaryStatsCalculator.BuildAttributesDictionary(competitionId);
Console.WriteLine("Finished building attributes dictionary");
attributeClashingMap = MainCalculator.BuildAttributeMatchMap();
Console.WriteLine($"Ended build: {DateTime.Now.Hour}:{DateTime.Now.Minute}");
}
var recs = new List <MainCalculator.Recommendation>();
var recsPath = @"C:\Users\user\Desktop\DataProjects\2018\RecommendationsFile.tsv";
foreach (var match in matches)
{
var path = @"C:\Users\user\Desktop\DataProjects\2018\" + match.HomeTeam + "VS" + match.AwayTeam + ".tsv";
Console.WriteLine(match.HomeTeam + " Vs. " + match.AwayTeam);
var reportObj = new ReportObject();
reportObj.Init(combinedLetterDict, attributeDict, attributeClashingMap, competitionId);
reportObj.Build(match.HomeTeam, match.AwayTeam);
reportObj.CalculateExpectedWinnerByStrength();
reportObj.CalculateExpectedWinnerByLetters();
//reportObj.CalculateAttributesExpectedWinner();
reportObj.FindRecommendations();
recs.AddRange(reportObj.MatchRecommendations);
var linesToWrite = reportObj.GetLinesToWrite();
File.WriteAllLines(path, linesToWrite);
}
var recsToWrite = recs.Where(x => x.Result != null)
.Where(x => x.Confidence >= 60m)
.OrderByDescending(x => x.Confidence)
.Select(x => $"{x.HomeTeam} VS. {x.AwayTeam} ({x.Type}): {x.Result} ({x.Confidence}%) (Ratio: {Math.Round(100/x.Confidence, 2)})");
File.WriteAllLines(recsPath, recsToWrite);
}
public static AttributesMatch GetAttributeMatch(sakilaEntities4 db, competitionmatch match)
{
var attributesDict = SecondaryStatsCalculator.BuildAttributesDictionary(match.CompetitionID, db, 50, match.MatchDate);
var homeTeamAttributes = Helper.GetTeamAttributeFromDict((int)match.HomeTeamID, attributesDict);
var awayTeamAttributes = Helper.GetTeamAttributeFromDict((int)match.AwayTeamID, attributesDict);
List <DataObjects.AttributeType> winnerAttributes = null;
if (match.WinnerTeamID == match.HomeTeamID)
{
winnerAttributes = homeTeamAttributes;
}
else if (match.WinnerTeamID == match.AwayTeamID)
{
winnerAttributes = awayTeamAttributes;
}
return(new AttributesMatch
{
HomeAttributes = homeTeamAttributes,
AwayAttributes = awayTeamAttributes,
WinnerAttributes = winnerAttributes
});
}
public bool AggregateStats(sakilaEntities4 db, bool isTest = false)
{
var homeTeam = db.team.First(x => x.TeamID == HomeTeamID);
var awayTeam = db.team.First(x => x.TeamID == AwayTeamID);
HomeTeamValue = homeTeam.MarketValue.Value;
AwayTeamValue = awayTeam.MarketValue.Value;
HomeTeam = homeTeam.TeamName;
AwayTeam = awayTeam.TeamName;
HomeTeamMatches = MainCalculator.GetTeamLatesMatches(db, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID, 50, Date);
AwayTeamMatches = MainCalculator.GetTeamLatesMatches(db, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID, 50, Date);
if (HomeTeamMatches.Count < 4 || HomeTeamMatches.Count > 34 || AwayTeamMatches.Count < 4 || AwayTeamMatches.Count > 34)
{
return(false);
}
HomeTotalShotsAvg = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageEventValue(db, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID, (int)DataObjects.EventType.TotalShots).Value;
AwayTotalShotsAvg = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageEventValue(db, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID, (int)DataObjects.EventType.TotalShots).Value;
HomeShotsOnTargetAvg = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageEventValue(db, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID, (int)DataObjects.EventType.ShotsOnTarget).Value;
AwayShotsOnTargetAvg = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageEventValue(db, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID, (int)DataObjects.EventType.ShotsOnTarget).Value;
HomeTotalShotsAgainstAvg = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageEventValueAgainstTeam(db, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID, (int)DataObjects.EventType.TotalShots).Value;
AwayTotalShotsAgainstAvg = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageEventValueAgainstTeam(db, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID, (int)DataObjects.EventType.TotalShots).Value;
HomeShotsOnTargetAgainstAvg = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageEventValueAgainstTeam(db, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID, (int)DataObjects.EventType.ShotsOnTarget).Value;
AwayShotsOnTargetAgainstAvg = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageEventValueAgainstTeam(db, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID, (int)DataObjects.EventType.ShotsOnTarget).Value;
HomeTotalShotsExpectedVsTeam = (HomeTotalShotsAvg + AwayTotalShotsAgainstAvg) / 2;
AwayTotalShotsExpectedVsTeam = (AwayTotalShotsAvg + HomeTotalShotsAgainstAvg) / 2;
HomeShotsOnTargetExpectedVsTeam = (HomeShotsOnTargetAvg + AwayShotsOnTargetAgainstAvg) / 2;
AwayShotsOnTargetExpectedVsTeam = (AwayShotsOnTargetAvg + HomeShotsOnTargetAgainstAvg) / 2;
HomePossessionAvg = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageEventValue(db, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID, (int)DataObjects.EventType.Possession).Value;
AwayPossessionAvg = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageEventValue(db, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID, (int)DataObjects.EventType.Possession).Value;
HomeFoulsAvg = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageEventValue(db, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID, (int)DataObjects.EventType.Fouls).Value;
AwayFoulsAvg = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageEventValue(db, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID, (int)DataObjects.EventType.Fouls).Value;
HomePointsSeasonal = PointsCalculator.CalculatePointPace(PointsCalculator.GetTeamBalance(HomeTeamMatches, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID));
AwayPointsSeasonal = PointsCalculator.CalculatePointPace(PointsCalculator.GetTeamBalance(AwayTeamMatches, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID));
HomePointsLast3 = PointsCalculator.CalculatePointPace(PointsCalculator.GetTeamBalance(HomeTeamMatches, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID, 3));
AwayPointsLast3 = PointsCalculator.CalculatePointPace(PointsCalculator.GetTeamBalance(AwayTeamMatches, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID, 3));
HomePointsAtHome = PointsCalculator.CalculatePointPace(PointsCalculator.GetTeamBalanceHome(HomeTeamMatches, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID));
AwayPointsAtAway = PointsCalculator.CalculatePointPace(PointsCalculator.GetTeamBalanceAway(AwayTeamMatches, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID));
HomeGoalsAvgSeasonal = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsScoringAverage(HomeTeamMatches, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID).Average;
AwayGoalsAvgSeasonal = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsScoringAverage(AwayTeamMatches, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID).Average;
HomeGoalsAvgLast3 = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsScoringAverage(HomeTeamMatches, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID, 3).Average;
AwayGoalsAvgLast3 = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsScoringAverage(AwayTeamMatches, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID, 3).Average;
HomeGoalsAvgAtHome = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsScoringAverageAtHome(HomeTeamMatches, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID).Average;
AwayGoalsAvgAtAway = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsScoringAverageAtAway(AwayTeamMatches, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID).Average;
HomeGoalsExpected = (HomeGoalsAvgSeasonal + HomeGoalsAvgLast3 + HomeGoalsAvgAtHome) / 3;
AwayGoalsExpected = (AwayGoalsAvgSeasonal + AwayGoalsAvgLast3 + AwayGoalsAvgAtAway) / 3;
HomeGoalsConcededAvgSeasonal = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsConcededAverage(HomeTeamMatches, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID).Average;
AwayGoalsConcededAvgSeasonal = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsConcededAverage(AwayTeamMatches, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID).Average;
HomeGoalsConcededAvgLast3 = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsConcededAverage(HomeTeamMatches, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID, 3).Average;
AwayGoalsConcededAvgLast3 = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsConcededAverage(AwayTeamMatches, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID, 3).Average;
HomeGoalsConcededAvgAtHome = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsConcededAverageAtHome(HomeTeamMatches, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID).Average;
AwayGoalsConcededAvgAtAway = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsConcededAverageAtAway(AwayTeamMatches, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID).Average;
HomeGoalsExpectedConcede = (HomeGoalsConcededAvgSeasonal + HomeGoalsConcededAvgLast3 + HomeGoalsConcededAvgAtHome) / 3;
AwayGoalsExpectedConcede = (AwayGoalsConcededAvgSeasonal + AwayGoalsConcededAvgLast3 + AwayGoalsConcededAvgAtAway) / 3;
HomeGoalsExpectedVsTeam = (HomeGoalsExpected + AwayGoalsExpectedConcede) / 2;
AwayGoalsExpectedVsTeam = (AwayGoalsExpected + HomeGoalsExpectedConcede) / 2;
HomeTrend = LettersSequenceCalculator.GetTeamLetterScore(HomeTeamMatches, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID);
AwayTrend = LettersSequenceCalculator.GetTeamLetterScore(AwayTeamMatches, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID);
HomePointsWeightedSeasonal = PointsCalculator.GetWeightedBalance(db, HomeTeamMatches, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID);
AwayPointsWeightedSeasonal = (PointsCalculator.GetWeightedBalance(db, AwayTeamMatches, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID));
ChanceCreationHome = HomePossessionAvg / HomeTotalShotsAvg;
ChanceCreationAway = AwayPossessionAvg / AwayTotalShotsAvg;
ShotsAccuracyHome = HomeTotalShotsAvg == 0 || HomeShotsOnTargetAvg == 0 ? 0 : HomeTotalShotsAvg / HomeShotsOnTargetAvg;
ShotsAccuracyAway = AwayTotalShotsAvg == 0 || AwayShotsOnTargetAvg == 0 ? 0 : AwayTotalShotsAvg / AwayShotsOnTargetAvg;
ScoringRateHome = HomeShotsOnTargetAvg == 0 || HomeGoalsAvgSeasonal == 0 ? 0 : HomeShotsOnTargetAvg / HomeGoalsAvgSeasonal;
ScoringRateAway = AwayShotsOnTargetAvg == 0 || AwayGoalsAvgSeasonal == 0 ? 0 : AwayShotsOnTargetAvg / AwayGoalsAvgSeasonal;
KeeperStrengthHome = HomeShotsOnTargetAgainstAvg == 0 || HomeGoalsConcededAvgSeasonal == 0 ? 0 : HomeShotsOnTargetAgainstAvg / HomeGoalsConcededAvgSeasonal;
KeeperStrengthAway = AwayShotsOnTargetAgainstAvg == 0 || AwayGoalsConcededAvgSeasonal == 0 ? 0 : AwayShotsOnTargetAgainstAvg / AwayGoalsConcededAvgSeasonal;
if (!isTest)
{
var relevantMatchOdds = db.matchodds.FirstOrDefault(x => x.MatchID == CompetitionMatchId);
if (relevantMatchOdds != null)
{
HomeOddsRatio = relevantMatchOdds.HomeTeamOdds;
DrawOddsRatio = relevantMatchOdds.DrawOdds;
AwayOddsRatio = relevantMatchOdds.AwayTeamOdds;
IsHomeFavorite = 0;
if (HomeOddsRatio < AwayOddsRatio)
{
IsHomeFavorite = 1;
}
}
else
{
Console.WriteLine("Failed to fing odds for match: " + HomeTeamID + " VS. " + AwayTeamID);
HomeOddsRatio = 0.00M;
DrawOddsRatio = 0.00M;
AwayOddsRatio = 0.00M;
IsHomeFavorite = 0;
}
}
else
{
HomeOddsRatio = 0.00M;
DrawOddsRatio = 0.00M;
AwayOddsRatio = 0.00M;
IsHomeFavorite = 0;
}
var homeTeamSeq = LettersSequenceCalculator.GetTeamLetterSequence(db, HomeTeamID, CompetitionID, 3);
var homeSeqString = string.Join("", homeTeamSeq);
var homeTeamExpected = LettersDict.First(x => x.Key.Equals(homeSeqString)).Value;
HomeExpectedWin = Math.Round(homeTeamExpected.First(x => x.Letter == "W").Percent, 2);
var awayTeamSeq = LettersSequenceCalculator.GetTeamLetterSequence(db, AwayTeamID, CompetitionID, 3);
var awaySeqString = string.Join("", awayTeamSeq);
var awayTeamExpected = LettersDict.First(x => x.Key.Equals(awaySeqString)).Value;
AwayExpectedWin = Math.Round(awayTeamExpected.First(x => x.Letter == "W").Percent, 2);
Round = (decimal)(HomeTeamMatches.Count + AwayTeamMatches.Count) / 2;
if (AwayPossessionAvg == 0.0 || HomePossessionAvg == 0.0)
{
return(false);
}
return(true);
}
public static void CreateMatchReport(Dictionary <string, List <Helper.LetterDistribution> > lettersDict,
Dictionary <int, List <DataObjects.AttributeType> > attributesDict,
List <MainCalculator.AttributesMatch> attributeClashingMap,
string homeTeam, string awayTeam, int competitionId)
{
var linesToWrite = new List <string>
{
"Home Team: " + homeTeam,
"Away Team: " + awayTeam + "\n"
};
var path = @"C:\Users\user\Desktop\DataProjects\" + homeTeam + "VS" + awayTeam + ".tsv";
using (var db = new sakilaEntities4())
{
var homeTeamObj = db.team.First(x => x.TeamName == homeTeam);
var awayTeamObj = db.team.First(x => x.TeamName == awayTeam);
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Market Value: " + homeTeamObj.MarketValue);
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Market Value: " + awayTeamObj.MarketValue + "\n");
var homeTeamBalance = PointsCalculator.GetTeamBalance(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var awayTeamBalance = PointsCalculator.GetTeamBalance(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var homeTeamBalanceLast3 = PointsCalculator.GetTeamBalance(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId, 3);
var awayTeamBalanceLast3 = PointsCalculator.GetTeamBalance(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId, 3);
var teamBalanceAtHome = PointsCalculator.GetTeamBalanceHome(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var teamBalanceAwayFromHome = PointsCalculator.GetTeamBalanceAway(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var homeTeamSeasonForm = PointsCalculator.CalculatePointPace(homeTeamBalance);
var awayTeamSeasonForm = PointsCalculator.CalculatePointPace(awayTeamBalance);
var homeTeamLatest3Form = PointsCalculator.CalculatePointPace(homeTeamBalanceLast3);
var awayTeamLatest3Form = PointsCalculator.CalculatePointPace(awayTeamBalanceLast3);
var homeTeamSeasonFormAtHome = PointsCalculator.CalculatePointPace(teamBalanceAtHome);
var awayTeamSeasonFormAway = PointsCalculator.CalculatePointPace(teamBalanceAwayFromHome);
var foulsAverageHome = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageFoulsPerTeam(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var foulsAverageAway = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageFoulsPerTeam(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var cornersAverageHome = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageCornersPerTeam(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var cornersAverageAway = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageCornersPerTeam(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var cornersAverageOnHomeTeamMatches = SecondaryStatsCalculator.AverageCornersOnTeamsMatches(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID,
competitionId);
var cornersAverageOnAwayTeamMatches = SecondaryStatsCalculator.AverageCornersOnTeamsMatches(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID,
competitionId);
var cornersStdOnHomeTeamMatches = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetStdCornersPerTeamsMatches(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID,
competitionId);
var cornersStdOnAwayTeamMatches = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetStdCornersPerTeamsMatches(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID,
competitionId);
var shotsOnTargetAverageHome = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageTotalShotsPerTeam(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var shotsOnTargetAverageAway = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageTotalShotsPerTeam(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var shotsOnTargetAverageAgainstHome = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageShotsOnTargetAgainstTeam(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var shotsOnTargetAverageAgainstAway = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAverageShotsOnTargetAgainstTeam(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var possessionAverageHome = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAveragePossessionPerTeam(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var possessionAverageAway = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAveragePossessionPerTeam(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var possessionAverageAgainstHome = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAveragePossessionAgainstTeam(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var possessionAverageAgainstAway = SecondaryStatsCalculator.GetAveragePossessionAgainstTeam(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var possToShotsRateHome = Math.Round((double)(possessionAverageHome / shotsOnTargetAverageHome), 2);
var possToShotsRateAway = Math.Round((double)(possessionAverageAway / shotsOnTargetAverageAway), 2);
var possToShotsRateAgainstHome = Math.Round((double)(possessionAverageAgainstHome / shotsOnTargetAverageAgainstHome), 2);
var possToShotsRateAgainstAway = Math.Round((double)(possessionAverageAgainstAway / shotsOnTargetAverageAgainstAway), 2);
var goalScoredHomeSeasonal = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsScoringAverage(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var goalScoredHomeLatest3 = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsScoringAverage(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId, 3);
var goalScoredHomeAtHome = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsScoringAverageAtHome(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID,
competitionId);
var goalScoredAwaySeasonal = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsScoringAverage(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var goalScoredAwayLatest3 = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsScoringAverage(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId, 3);
var goalScoredAwayAtAway = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsScoringAverageAtAway(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID,
competitionId);
var shotsToGoalsRateHome = Math.Round((double)(shotsOnTargetAverageHome / goalScoredHomeSeasonal.Average), 2);
var shotsToGoalRateAway = Math.Round((double)(shotsOnTargetAverageAway / goalScoredAwaySeasonal.Average), 2);
var homeTeamTopScorer = GoalsCalculator.GetTeamTopScorer(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var awayTeamTopScorer = GoalsCalculator.GetTeamTopScorer(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var goalConcededHomeSeasonal = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsConcededAverage(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var goalConcededHomeLatest3 = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsConcededAverage(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId, 3);
var goalConcededHomeAtHome = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsConcededAverageAtHome(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var goalConcededAwaySeasonal = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsConcededAverage(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var goalConcededAwayLatest3 = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsConcededAverage(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId, 3);
var goalConcededAwayAtAway = GoalsCalculator.GetGoalsConcededAverageAtAway(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var shotsToGoalsRateAgainstHome = Math.Round((double)(shotsOnTargetAverageAgainstHome / goalConcededHomeSeasonal.Average), 2);
var shotsToGoalRateAgainstAway = Math.Round((double)(shotsOnTargetAverageAgainstAway / goalConcededAwaySeasonal.Average), 2);
var expectShotsHome = Math.Round((double)(shotsOnTargetAverageAgainstAway + shotsOnTargetAverageHome) / 2, 2);
var expectedShotsAway = Math.Round((double)(shotsOnTargetAverageAgainstHome + shotsOnTargetAverageAway) / 2, 2);
var homeExpectedConversionRate = Math.Round((decimal)(shotsToGoalRateAgainstAway + shotsToGoalsRateHome) / 2, 2);
var awayExpectedConversionRate = Math.Round((decimal)(shotsToGoalRateAway + shotsToGoalsRateAgainstHome) / 2, 2);
var homeExpectedGoalsByConversionRate = expectShotsHome / (double)homeExpectedConversionRate;
var awayExpectedGoalsByConversionRate = expectedShotsAway / (double)awayExpectedConversionRate;
var expectedWinnerByConversion = MainCalculator.GetExpectedWinner(homeExpectedGoalsByConversionRate, awayExpectedGoalsByConversionRate, 1, 0.5d);
var conversionExpectedWinner = MainCalculator.CalculateConversionWinner(homeExpectedConversionRate,
awayExpectedConversionRate);
var goalHomeConcededPosition = GoalsCalculator.GetTeamTopScorersAgainsePosition(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID,
competitionId);
var goalAwayConcededPosition = GoalsCalculator.GetTeamTopScorersAgainsePosition(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID,
competitionId);
var homeTeamFormLetters = LettersSequenceCalculator.GetTeamLatestSequence(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var awayTeamFormLetters = LettersSequenceCalculator.GetTeamLatestSequence(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID, competitionId);
var homeTeamStrength = MainCalculator.CalculateTeamStrength((int)homeTeamObj.MarketValue, homeTeamSeasonForm, homeTeamLatest3Form, homeTeamSeasonFormAtHome);
var awayTeamStrength = MainCalculator.CalculateTeamStrength((int)awayTeamObj.MarketValue, awayTeamSeasonForm, awayTeamLatest3Form, awayTeamSeasonFormAway);
var homeTeamExpectedGoals = GoalsCalculator.CalculateExpectedGoals(goalScoredHomeSeasonal,
goalScoredHomeLatest3, goalConcededAwaySeasonal, goalConcededAwayLatest3,
goalScoredHomeAtHome, goalConcededAwayAtAway);
var awayTeamExpectedGoals = GoalsCalculator.CalculateExpectedGoals(goalScoredAwaySeasonal,
goalScoredAwayLatest3, goalConcededHomeSeasonal, goalConcededHomeLatest3,
goalScoredAwayAtAway, goalConcededHomeAtHome);
var homeTeamStengthDiff = MainCalculator.StrengthDiffCaculator(homeTeamStrength, awayTeamStrength);
var awayTeamStengthDiff = MainCalculator.StrengthDiffCaculator(awayTeamStrength, homeTeamStrength);
string homeTeamSeq;
var homeSequenceExpectation = LettersSequenceCalculator.BuildSequenceStringExpectation(db, homeTeamObj.TeamID,
competitionId, lettersDict, out homeTeamSeq);
var homeSequenceStringExpectation =
LettersSequenceCalculator.BuildSequenceStringExpectation(homeSequenceExpectation, homeTeamSeq);
string awayTeanSeq;
var awaySequenceExpectation = LettersSequenceCalculator.BuildSequenceStringExpectation(db, awayTeamObj.TeamID,
competitionId, lettersDict, out awayTeanSeq);
var awaySequenceStringExpectation =
LettersSequenceCalculator.BuildSequenceStringExpectation(awaySequenceExpectation, awayTeanSeq);
var homeCalculatedGoals = Math.Round(homeTeamExpectedGoals.Average + homeTeamStengthDiff, 2);
var awayCalculatedGoals = Math.Round(awayTeamExpectedGoals.Average + awayTeamStengthDiff, 2);
var expectedWinner = MainCalculator.GetExpectedWinner(homeCalculatedGoals, awayCalculatedGoals);
var lettersExpectedWinner = MainCalculator.GetLettersExpectedWinners(homeSequenceExpectation,
awaySequenceExpectation);
var homeTeamAttributes = Helper.GetTeamAttributesList((int)homeTeamObj.TeamID, attributesDict);
var awayTeamAttributes = Helper.GetTeamAttributesList((int)awayTeamObj.TeamID, attributesDict);
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Strength: " + homeTeamStrength);
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Strength: " + awayTeamStrength + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add("Strength Expected Winner: " + expectedWinner.Winner + " (" + Math.Min(expectedWinner.Confidence * 100, 100) + "%)");
linesToWrite.Add("Expected Goals: " + Math.Round(homeTeamExpectedGoals.Average + awayTeamExpectedGoals.Average, 2) + " (Average Std: " + Math.Round((homeTeamExpectedGoals.StdDev + awayTeamExpectedGoals.StdDev) / 2, 1) + ")");
linesToWrite.Add("Expected Result: " + homeCalculatedGoals + ":" + awayCalculatedGoals + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Expected Result According to Form: " + homeSequenceStringExpectation);
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Expected Result According to Form: " + awaySequenceStringExpectation + "\n" + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add("Letters Expected Results: " + lettersExpectedWinner);
if (homeTeamAttributes.Any() || awayTeamAttributes.Any())
{
linesToWrite.Add("---------Tips---------");
if (homeTeamAttributes.Any())
{
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + ":");
linesToWrite.AddRange(homeTeamAttributes);
linesToWrite.Add("");
}
if (awayTeamAttributes.Any())
{
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + ":");
linesToWrite.AddRange(awayTeamAttributes);
linesToWrite.Add("");
}
linesToWrite.Add("");
var homeTeamAttrs = Helper.GetTeamAttributeFromDict(homeTeamObj.TeamID, attributesDict);
var awayTeamAttrs = Helper.GetTeamAttributeFromDict(awayTeamObj.TeamID, attributesDict);
var attributeAdventage = MainCalculator.GetAttributeAdventageList(homeTeamAttrs,
awayTeamAttrs, attributeClashingMap);
if (attributeAdventage.Any())
{
linesToWrite.Add("Atributes Adventages: ");
linesToWrite.Add("");
}
linesToWrite.AddRange(attributeAdventage);
linesToWrite.Add("");
}
linesToWrite.Add("---------Balance & Points---------");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Balance: " + homeTeamBalance.Win + "-" + homeTeamBalance.Draw + "-" + homeTeamBalance.Lost + "(Pace: " + homeTeamSeasonForm + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Balance at Home: " + teamBalanceAtHome.Win + "-" + teamBalanceAtHome.Draw + "-" + teamBalanceAtHome.Lost + "(Pace: " + homeTeamSeasonFormAtHome + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Balance Latest 3: " + homeTeamBalanceLast3.Win + "-" + homeTeamBalanceLast3.Draw + "-" + homeTeamBalanceLast3.Lost + "(Pace: " + homeTeamLatest3Form + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Form: " + homeTeamFormLetters + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Balance: " + awayTeamBalance.Win + "-" + awayTeamBalance.Draw + "-" + awayTeamBalance.Lost + "(Pace:" + awayTeamSeasonForm + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Balance Away: " + teamBalanceAwayFromHome.Win + "-" + teamBalanceAwayFromHome.Draw + "-" + teamBalanceAwayFromHome.Lost + "(Pace: " + awayTeamSeasonFormAway + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Balance Latest 3: " + awayTeamBalanceLast3.Win + "-" + awayTeamBalanceLast3.Draw + "-" + awayTeamBalanceLast3.Lost + "(Pace:" + awayTeamLatest3Form + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Form: " + awayTeamFormLetters + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add("---------Goals---------");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Goal Scored Average: " + goalScoredHomeSeasonal.Average + "(Std: " + goalScoredHomeSeasonal.StdDev + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Goal Scored Latest 3 Average: " + goalScoredHomeLatest3.Average + "(Std: " + goalScoredHomeLatest3.StdDev + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Goal Scored At Home Matchs: " + goalScoredHomeAtHome.Average + "(Std: " + goalScoredHomeAtHome.StdDev + ")" + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Goal Scored Average: " + goalScoredAwaySeasonal.Average + "(Std: " + goalScoredAwaySeasonal.StdDev + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Goal Scored Latest 3 Average: " + goalScoredAwayLatest3.Average + "(Std: " + goalScoredAwayLatest3.StdDev + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Goal Scored At Away Matches: " + goalScoredAwayAtAway.Average + "(Std: " + goalScoredAwayAtAway.StdDev + ")" + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Top Scorer: " + homeTeamTopScorer.Name + " (" + homeTeamTopScorer.Goals + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Top Scorer: " + awayTeamTopScorer.Name + " (" + awayTeamTopScorer.Goals + ")" + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Goal Conceded Average: " + goalConcededHomeSeasonal.Average + "(Std: " + goalConcededHomeSeasonal.StdDev + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Goal Conceded Latest 3 Average: " + goalConcededHomeLatest3.Average + "(Std: " + goalConcededHomeLatest3.StdDev + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Goal Conceded At Home Matches: " + goalConcededHomeAtHome.Average + "(Std: " + goalConcededHomeAtHome.StdDev + ")" + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Goal Conceded Average: " + goalConcededAwaySeasonal.Average + "(Std: " + goalConcededAwaySeasonal.StdDev + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Goal Conceded Latest 3 Average: " + goalConcededAwayLatest3.Average + "(Std: " + goalConcededAwayLatest3.StdDev + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Goal Conceded At Away Matches: " + goalConcededAwayAtAway.Average + "(Std: " + goalConcededAwayAtAway.StdDev + ")" + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Conceded Mostly from: " + goalHomeConcededPosition);
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Conceded Mostly from: " + goalAwayConcededPosition + "\n" + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add("---------Corners---------");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Corners Average: " + cornersAverageHome);
linesToWrite.Add("Average Corners on " + homeTeam + " Matches: " + cornersAverageOnHomeTeamMatches + "(Std:" + cornersStdOnHomeTeamMatches + ")" + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Corners Average: " + cornersAverageAway);
linesToWrite.Add("Average Corners on " + awayTeam + " Matches: " + cornersAverageOnAwayTeamMatches + "(Std:" + cornersStdOnAwayTeamMatches + ")" + "\n" + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add("---------Other Stats---------");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Fouls Average: " + foulsAverageHome);
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Fouls Average: " + foulsAverageAway + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Possession Average: " + possessionAverageHome + "%");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Possession Average: " + possessionAverageAway + "%" + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Shots on Goal Average: " + shotsOnTargetAverageHome);
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Shots on Goal Average: " + shotsOnTargetAverageAway + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add("---------Funnels (Possession:Shots:Goals)---------");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Funnel: (" + ((double)possessionAverageHome) + ") : (" + ((double)shotsOnTargetAverageHome) + ") : (" + (goalScoredHomeSeasonal.Average) + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Possession to Shots Conversion: " + possToShotsRateHome);
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Shots to Goals Conversion: " + shotsToGoalsRateHome + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Opponents Funnel: (" + ((double)possessionAverageAgainstHome) + ") : (" + ((double)shotsOnTargetAverageAgainstHome) + ") : (" + (goalConcededHomeSeasonal.Average) + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Possession to Shots Conversion Against " + homeTeam + ": " + possToShotsRateAgainstHome);
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Shots to Goals Conversion Against " + homeTeam + ": " + shotsToGoalsRateAgainstHome + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Funnel: (" + ((double)possessionAverageAway) + ") : (" + ((double)shotsOnTargetAverageAway) + ") : (" + (goalScoredAwaySeasonal.Average) + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Possession to Shots Conversion: " + possToShotsRateAway);
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Shots to Goals Conversion: " + shotsToGoalRateAway + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Oponents Funnel: (" + ((double)possessionAverageAgainstAway) + ") : (" + ((double)shotsOnTargetAverageAgainstAway) + ") : (" + (goalConcededAwaySeasonal.Average) + ")");
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Possession to Shots Conversion Against " + awayTeam + ": " + possToShotsRateAgainstAway);
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Shots to Goals Conversion Against " + awayTeam + ": " + shotsToGoalRateAgainstAway);
linesToWrite.Add("");
linesToWrite.Add(homeTeam + " Expected Conversion: " + homeExpectedConversionRate);
linesToWrite.Add(awayTeam + " Expected Conversion: " + awayExpectedConversionRate + "\n");
linesToWrite.Add("Expected Average Conversion: " + Math.Round((awayExpectedConversionRate + homeExpectedConversionRate) / 2, 2));
linesToWrite.Add("");
linesToWrite.Add(conversionExpectedWinner);
linesToWrite.Add("Shots Conversion Winner: " + expectedWinnerByConversion.Winner + " (" + Math.Min(expectedWinnerByConversion.Confidence * 100, 100) + "%)");
}
File.WriteAllLines(path, linesToWrite);
}
