public List <CoronaPatient> infect(Random r, CoronaParameter c)
{
List <CoronaPatient> infect_list = new List <CoronaPatient>();
if (this.care_level < 4)
{
for (int i = 0; i < contact_number; i++)
{
CoronaPatient contact_p = new CoronaPatient(r, c);
if (contact_p.health_factor < 0.5)
{
contact_p.health_factor += 0.5;
}
contact_p.care_level = 1; //感染されたばかりではなにもしない
contact_p.serious_factor = 0.1; //発症したばかりではひどくない
double infect_rate = activitiy_factor * train_fator * room_factor * serious_factor * (1.0 - use_mask) * (1.0 - contact_p.health_factor) * (1.0 - contact_p.use_mask);
if (dice(r, infect_rate) == 1)
{
infected_number++;
infect_list.Add(contact_p);
}
;
}
for (int i = 0; i < family_number; i++)
{
CoronaPatient family_p = new CoronaPatient(r, c);
family_p.family_id = id;
family_p.source_id = id;
family_p.care_level = 1; //感染されたばかりではなにもしない
family_p.serious_factor = 0.1; //発症したばかりではひどくない
if (family_p.health_factor < 0.5)
{
family_p.health_factor += 0.5;
}
double family_infect_rate = room_factor * 2 * serious_factor * (1.0 - family_p.health_factor);
if (dice(r, family_infect_rate) == 1)
{
infected_number++;
infect_list.Add(family_p);
}
}
}
this.day++;
return(infect_list);
}
static void Main(string[] args)
{
//-----コマンドライン処理-------------
string[] cmds = System.Environment.GetCommandLineArgs();
//パラメータ識別
for (int i = 0; i < cmds.Length; i++)
{
if (cmds[i].Trim() == "/org_num")
{
if (cmds.Length - 1 >= i + 1) //パラメータが存在するなら
{
org_patient_number = int.Parse(cmds[i + 1].Trim());
}
Console.WriteLine("numbers of patient at first phase: " + org_patient_number.ToString());
}
else if (cmds[i].Trim() == "/bed")
{
if (cmds.Length - 1 >= i + 1) //パラメータが存在するなら
{
g.bed_count = int.Parse(cmds[i + 1].Trim());
}
Console.WriteLine("Hostipal's bed count at all: " + g.bed_count.ToString());
}
else if (cmds[i].Trim() == "/death_rate")
{
if (cmds.Length - 1 >= i + 1) //パラメータが存在するなら
{
c.death_rate = double.Parse(cmds[i + 1].Trim());
}
Console.WriteLine("Death rate: " + c.death_rate);
}
else if (cmds[i].Trim() == "/death_rate2")
{
if (cmds.Length - 1 >= i + 1) //パラメータが存在するなら
{
c.death_rate_no_bed = double.Parse(cmds[i + 1].Trim());
}
Console.WriteLine("Death rate when not be hospitalized: " + c.death_rate_no_bed);
}
else if (cmds[i].Trim() == "/contact_number")
{
if (cmds.Length - 1 >= i + 1) //パラメータが存在するなら
{
c.max_contact_number = int.Parse(cmds[i + 1].Trim());
}
Console.WriteLine("Max contact number: " + c.max_contact_number);
}
}
//-----コマンドライン処理-------------
for (int i = 0; i < org_patient_number; i++)
{
CoronaPatient new_p = new CoronaPatient(r, c);
new_p.id = p_list.Count;
new_p.family_id = p_list.Count;
new_p.care_level = 1; //感染されたばかりではなにもしない
new_p.serious_factor = 0.1; //発症したばかりではひどくない
p_list.Add(new_p);
}
Console.WriteLine("DAY:" + day.ToString() + " patient_number:" + p_list.Count);
Console.WriteLine(" complete_cured:" + complete_cure_count.ToString() + " dead:" + dead_count.ToString());
for (int j = 0; j < 100; j++)
{
int today_infect_sum = 0;
int today_mask_sum = 0;
int today_mask_predict = (int)(yesterday_mask_sum * mask_step_rate);
double r0_mean = 0;
int all_infected_number = 0;
int care_level_4_count = 0;
for (int i = 0; i < p_list.Count; i++)
{
if (p_list[i].dead == 0 && p_list[i].complete_cure == 0)
{
List <CoronaPatient> new_list = p_list[i].infect(r, c);
dead_count += p_list[i].sick_step(r, c);
complete_cure_count += p_list[i].complete_cure_step();
today_infect_sum += p_list[i].use_mask;
p_list[i].contact_number = (int)(p_list[i].contact_number * contact_step_rate);
if (p_list[i].care_level >= 4)
{
care_level_4_count += 1;
}
if (new_list.Count > 0)
{
today_infect_sum += new_list.Count;
//Console.WriteLine("ID:" + i.ToString() + " infected " + new_list.Count.ToString() + " peoples");
p_list.AddRange(new_list);
}
}
if (i < 100) //r0は死亡と関係ない
{
all_infected_number += p_list[i].infected_number;
}
r0_mean = (double)all_infected_number / 100;
}
if (care_level_4_count > g.bed_count)
{
c.org_death_rate = c.death_rate;
c.death_rate = c.death_rate_no_bed;
}
else
{
c.death_rate = c.org_death_rate;
}
in_hospital_sum = care_level_4_count;
if (in_hospital_sum > g.bed_count)
{
in_hospital_sum = g.bed_count;
}
c.left_bed_count = g.bed_count - in_hospital_sum;
yesterday_mask_sum = today_mask_sum;
day++;
Console.WriteLine("---");
Console.WriteLine("DAY:" + day.ToString() + " patient_number:" + p_list.Count + " in_hospital:" + in_hospital_sum.ToString());
Console.WriteLine("infected:" + today_infect_sum.ToString() + " R0_mean:" + r0_mean.ToString("N2") + " cured:" + complete_cure_count.ToString() + " dead:" + dead_count.ToString());
//list_patient(0, p_list.Count - 1);
Console.ReadKey();
}
}
