public static predictObject Predict(string home, string away)
{
var context = new AlgoTestContext();
var leagueRepo = new LeagueRepository(context);
var overallForm = "";
var homeForm = "";
var awayForm = "";
var overallHome = leagueRepo.LoadTeam(home);
var overallAway = leagueRepo.LoadTeam(away);
var hometeam = leagueRepo.LoadHomeTeam(home);
var awayteam = leagueRepo.LoadAwayTeam(away);
var h2h = leagueRepo.H2H(home, away);
var league = overallHome[0].League;
var shotStatsHome = Program.homeShots;
var shotStatsAway = Program.awayShots;
var homeShotStatsListO = shotStatsHome.OrderBy(x => x.OffensiveRatio).ToList();
var homeShotStatsListD = shotStatsHome.OrderByDescending(x => x.DefensiveRatio).ToList();
var awayShotStatsListO = shotStatsAway.OrderBy(x => x.OffensiveRatio).ToList();
var awayShotStatsListD = shotStatsAway.OrderByDescending(x => x.DefensiveRatio).ToList();
//var homeShotStats = homeShotStatsList.FirstOrDefault(x => x.Team.ToLower().Contains(home.ToLower()));
//var awayShotStats = awayShotStatsList.FirstOrDefault(x => x.Team.ToLower().Contains(away.ToLower()));
#region Home Team (Home Form)
foreach (var stats in hometeam)
{
var r = "";
switch (stats.FTResult)
{
case "H":
r = "W";
break;
case "A":
r = "L";
break;
default:
r = "D";
break;
}
homeForm = homeForm + r;
}
var homeValues = homeForm.ToCharArray();
var homeTeamFormValue = 0;
foreach (var val in homeValues)
{
if (val.ToString() == "W")
{
homeTeamFormValue = homeTeamFormValue + 3;
}
if (val.ToString() == "D")
{
homeTeamFormValue = homeTeamFormValue + 1;
}
}
#endregion
#region Away Team (Away Form)
foreach (var stats in awayteam)
{
var r = "";
switch (stats.FTResult)
{
case "A":
r = "W";
break;
case "H":
r = "L";
break;
default:
r = "D";
break;
}
awayForm = awayForm + r;
}
var awayValues = awayForm.ToCharArray();
var awayTeamFormValue = 0;
foreach (var val in awayValues)
{
if (val.ToString() == "W")
{
awayTeamFormValue = awayTeamFormValue + 3;
}
if (val.ToString() == "D")
{
awayTeamFormValue = awayTeamFormValue + 1;
}
}
#endregion
#region Home Team (Overall Form)
foreach (var stats in overallHome)
{
var r = "D";
if (stats.Location == "H")
{
if (stats.FTResult == "H")
{
r = "W";
}
if (stats.FTResult == "A")
{
r = "L";
}
}
if (stats.Location == "A")
{
if (stats.FTResult == "H")
{
r = "L";
}
if (stats.FTResult == "A")
{
r = "W";
}
}
overallForm = overallForm + r;
}
var homeOverallValues = overallForm.ToCharArray();
var homeTeamOverallFormValue = 0;
foreach (var val in homeOverallValues)
{
if (val.ToString() == "W")
{
homeTeamOverallFormValue = homeTeamOverallFormValue + 3;
}
if (val.ToString() == "D")
{
homeTeamOverallFormValue = homeTeamOverallFormValue + 1;
}
}
#endregion
#region Away Team (Overall Form)
overallForm = "";
foreach (var stats in overallAway)
{
var r = "D";
if (stats.Location == "H")
{
if (stats.FTResult == "H")
{
r = "W";
}
if (stats.FTResult == "A")
{
r = "L";
}
}
if (stats.Location == "A")
{
if (stats.FTResult == "H")
{
r = "L";
}
if (stats.FTResult == "A")
{
r = "W";
}
}
overallForm = overallForm + r;
}
var awayOverallValues = overallForm.ToCharArray();
var awayTeamOverallFormValue = 0;
foreach (var val in awayOverallValues)
{
if (val.ToString() == "W")
{
awayTeamOverallFormValue = awayTeamOverallFormValue + 3;
}
if (val.ToString() == "D")
{
awayTeamOverallFormValue = awayTeamOverallFormValue + 1;
}
}
#endregion
#region HeadToHead
var homeh2hTotal = 0.0;
var awayh2hTotal = 0.0;
foreach (var val in h2h)
{
if (val.GoalsFor > val.GoalsAgainst)
{
homeh2hTotal = homeh2hTotal + 3;
}
else if (val.GoalsFor == val.GoalsAgainst)
{
homeh2hTotal = homeh2hTotal + 1;
awayh2hTotal = awayh2hTotal + 1;
}
else
{
awayh2hTotal = awayh2hTotal + 3;
}
}
#endregion
#region HomeTeam (Goals Scored/Conceded)
var homeGoalsFor = overallHome.Sum(x => x.GoalsFor);
var homeGoalsAgainst = overallHome.Sum(x => x.GoalsAgainst);
#endregion
#region AwayTeam (Goals Scored/Conceded)
var awayGoalsFor = overallAway.Sum(x => x.GoalsFor);
var awayGoalsAgainst = overallAway.Sum(x => x.GoalsAgainst);
#endregion
#region Shot stats and conversion rates (Home)
var offensiveRankH = 0;
var defensiveRankH = 0;
var normalisedOffensiveHome = 10;
var normalisedDefensiveHome = 10;
for (int i = 0; i < homeShotStatsListO.Count(); i++)
{
if (homeShotStatsListO[i].Team.ToLower().Contains(home.ToLower()))
{
offensiveRankH = normalisedOffensiveHome;
}
if ((i + 1) % 2 == 0)
{
normalisedOffensiveHome = normalisedOffensiveHome - 1;
}
}
for (int i = 0; i < homeShotStatsListD.Count(); i++)
{
if (homeShotStatsListD[i].Team.ToLower().Contains(home.ToLower()))
{
defensiveRankH = normalisedDefensiveHome;
}
if ((i + 1) % 2 == 0)
{
normalisedDefensiveHome = normalisedDefensiveHome - 1;
}
}
#endregion
#region Shot stats and conversion rates (Away)
var offensiveRankA = 0;
var defensiveRankA = 0;
var normalisedOffensiveAway = 10;
var normalisedDefensiveAway = 10;
for (int i = 0; i < awayShotStatsListO.Count(); i++)
{
if (awayShotStatsListO[i].Team.ToLower().Contains(away.ToLower()))
{
offensiveRankA = normalisedOffensiveAway;
}
if ((i + 1) % 2 == 0)
{
normalisedOffensiveAway = normalisedOffensiveAway - 1;
}
}
for (int i = 0; i < awayShotStatsListD.Count(); i++)
{
if (awayShotStatsListD[i].Team.ToLower().Contains(away.ToLower()))
{
defensiveRankA = normalisedDefensiveAway;
}
if ((i + 1) % 2 == 0)
{
normalisedDefensiveAway = normalisedDefensiveAway - 1;
}
}
#endregion
#region Calculations
var homeTotal = 0.0;
var awayTotal = 0.0;
var homePct = 0.0;
var awayPct = 0.0;
var homeGoalValue = 0.0;
var awayGoalValue = 0.0;
var resultString = "";
if (homeGoalsFor > awayGoalsFor)
{
homeGoalValue = homeGoalValue + 2;
}
else if (homeGoalsFor == awayGoalsFor)
{
homeGoalValue = homeGoalValue + 1;
awayGoalValue = awayGoalValue + 1;
}
else
{
awayGoalValue = awayGoalValue + 2;
}
if (homeGoalsFor > homeGoalsAgainst)
{
homeGoalValue = homeGoalValue + 1;
}
if (awayGoalsFor > awayGoalsAgainst)
{
awayGoalValue = awayGoalValue + 1;
}
var h2hMax = (h2h.Count * 3);
if (h2h.Count > 0)
{
homeh2hTotal = (homeh2hTotal / h2hMax) * 10;
awayh2hTotal = (awayh2hTotal / h2hMax) * 10;
}
else
{
homeh2hTotal = 0;
awayh2hTotal = 0;
}
var homeTeamStatScore = (Convert.ToDouble(offensiveRankH + defensiveRankH)) / 2;
var awayTeamStatScore = (Convert.ToDouble(offensiveRankA + defensiveRankA)) / 2;
homeTotal = (Convert.ToDouble(homeTeamFormValue + homeTeamOverallFormValue) / 3) + (homeGoalValue * 2) + (homeh2hTotal * 0.75) + (homeTeamStatScore * 0.20);
awayTotal = (Convert.ToDouble(awayTeamFormValue + awayTeamOverallFormValue) / 3) + (awayGoalValue * 2) + (awayh2hTotal * 0.75) + (awayTeamStatScore * 0.20);
homePct = (homeTotal / (homeTotal + awayTotal)) * 100;
awayPct = (awayTotal / (homeTotal + awayTotal)) * 100;
if (homePct >= 54.5)
{
resultString = "Home Win";
}
else if (awayPct >= 54.5)
{
resultString = "Away Win";
}
else
{
resultString = "Draw";
}
#endregion
var result = string.Format("{0} ({1}%) vs {2} ({3}%): {4}", home, Math.Round(homePct, 2), away, Math.Round(awayPct, 2), resultString);
var returnObject = new predictObject
{
predictedString = result,
predictedValue = resultString[0].ToString()
};
return(returnObject);
}
public static predictObject Predict(string home, string away)
{
var context = new AlgoTestContext();
var leagueRepo = new LeagueRepository(context);
var overallForm = "";
var homeForm = "";
var awayForm = "";
var overallHome = leagueRepo.LoadTeam(home);
var overallAway = leagueRepo.LoadTeam(away);
var hometeam = leagueRepo.LoadHomeTeam(home);
var awayteam = leagueRepo.LoadAwayTeam(away);
var h2h = leagueRepo.H2H(home, away);
var league = overallHome[0].League;
var shotStatsHome = Program.homeShots;
var shotStatsAway = Program.awayShots;
var homeShotStatsListO = shotStatsHome.OrderBy(x => x.OffensiveRatio).ToList();
var homeShotStatsListD = shotStatsHome.OrderByDescending(x => x.DefensiveRatio).ToList();
var awayShotStatsListO = shotStatsAway.OrderBy(x => x.OffensiveRatio).ToList();
var awayShotStatsListD = shotStatsAway.OrderByDescending(x => x.DefensiveRatio).ToList();
//var homeShotStats = homeShotStatsList.FirstOrDefault(x => x.Team.ToLower().Contains(home.ToLower()));
//var awayShotStats = awayShotStatsList.FirstOrDefault(x => x.Team.ToLower().Contains(away.ToLower()));
#region Home Team (Home Form)
foreach (var stats in hometeam)
{
var r = "";
switch (stats.FTResult)
{
case "H":
r = "W";
break;
case "A":
r = "L";
break;
default:
r = "D";
break;
}
homeForm = homeForm + r;
}
var homeValues = homeForm.ToCharArray();
var homeTeamFormValue = 0;
foreach (var val in homeValues)
{
if (val.ToString() == "W")
{
homeTeamFormValue = homeTeamFormValue + 3;
}
if (val.ToString() == "D")
{
homeTeamFormValue = homeTeamFormValue + 1;
}
}
#endregion
#region Away Team (Away Form)
foreach (var stats in awayteam)
{
var r = "";
switch (stats.FTResult)
{
case "A":
r = "W";
break;
case "H":
r = "L";
break;
default:
r = "D";
break;
}
awayForm = awayForm + r;
}
var awayValues = awayForm.ToCharArray();
var awayTeamFormValue = 0;
foreach (var val in awayValues)
{
if (val.ToString() == "W")
{
awayTeamFormValue = awayTeamFormValue + 3;
}
if (val.ToString() == "D")
{
awayTeamFormValue = awayTeamFormValue + 1;
}
}
#endregion
#region Home Team (Overall Form)
foreach (var stats in overallHome)
{
var r = "D";
if (stats.Location == "H")
{
if (stats.FTResult == "H")
{
r = "W";
}
if (stats.FTResult == "A")
{
r = "L";
}
}
if (stats.Location == "A")
{
if (stats.FTResult == "H")
{
r = "L";
}
if (stats.FTResult == "A")
{
r = "W";
}
}
overallForm = overallForm + r;
}
var homeOverallValues = overallForm.ToCharArray();
var homeTeamOverallFormValue = 0;
foreach (var val in homeOverallValues)
{
if (val.ToString() == "W")
{
homeTeamOverallFormValue = homeTeamOverallFormValue + 3;
}
if (val.ToString() == "D")
{
homeTeamOverallFormValue = homeTeamOverallFormValue + 1;
}
}
#endregion
#region Away Team (Overall Form)
overallForm = "";
foreach (var stats in overallAway)
{
var r = "D";
if (stats.Location == "H")
{
if (stats.FTResult == "H")
{
r = "W";
}
if (stats.FTResult == "A")
{
r = "L";
}
}
if (stats.Location == "A")
{
if (stats.FTResult == "H")
{
r = "L";
}
if (stats.FTResult == "A")
{
r = "W";
}
}
overallForm = overallForm + r;
}
var awayOverallValues = overallForm.ToCharArray();
var awayTeamOverallFormValue = 0;
foreach (var val in awayOverallValues)
{
if (val.ToString() == "W")
{
awayTeamOverallFormValue = awayTeamOverallFormValue + 3;
}
if (val.ToString() == "D")
{
awayTeamOverallFormValue = awayTeamOverallFormValue + 1;
}
}
#endregion
#region HeadToHead
var homeh2hTotal = 0.0;
var awayh2hTotal = 0.0;
foreach (var val in h2h)
{
if (val.GoalsFor > val.GoalsAgainst)
{
homeh2hTotal = homeh2hTotal + 3;
}
else if (val.GoalsFor == val.GoalsAgainst)
{
homeh2hTotal = homeh2hTotal + 1;
awayh2hTotal = awayh2hTotal + 1;
}
else
{
awayh2hTotal = awayh2hTotal + 3;
}
}
#endregion
#region HomeTeam (Goals Scored/Conceded)
var homeGoalsFor = overallHome.Sum(x => x.GoalsFor);
var homeGoalsAgainst = overallHome.Sum(x => x.GoalsAgainst);
#endregion
#region AwayTeam (Goals Scored/Conceded)
var awayGoalsFor = overallAway.Sum(x => x.GoalsFor);
var awayGoalsAgainst = overallAway.Sum(x => x.GoalsAgainst);
#endregion
#region Shot stats and conversion rates (Home)
var offensiveRankH = 0;
var defensiveRankH = 0;
var normalisedOffensiveHome = 10;
var normalisedDefensiveHome = 10;
for (int i = 0; i < homeShotStatsListO.Count(); i++)
{
if (homeShotStatsListO[i].Team.ToLower().Contains(home.ToLower()))
{
offensiveRankH = normalisedOffensiveHome;
}
if ((i + 1) % 2 == 0)
{
normalisedOffensiveHome = normalisedOffensiveHome - 1;
}
}
for (int i = 0; i < homeShotStatsListD.Count(); i++)
{
if (homeShotStatsListD[i].Team.ToLower().Contains(home.ToLower()))
{
defensiveRankH = normalisedDefensiveHome;
}
if ((i + 1) % 2 == 0)
{
normalisedDefensiveHome = normalisedDefensiveHome - 1;
}
}
#endregion
#region Shot stats and conversion rates (Away)
var offensiveRankA = 0;
var defensiveRankA = 0;
var normalisedOffensiveAway = 10;
var normalisedDefensiveAway = 10;
for (int i = 0; i < awayShotStatsListO.Count(); i++)
{
if (awayShotStatsListO[i].Team.ToLower().Contains(away.ToLower()))
{
offensiveRankA = normalisedOffensiveAway;
}
if ((i + 1) % 2 == 0)
{
normalisedOffensiveAway = normalisedOffensiveAway - 1;
}
}
for (int i = 0; i < awayShotStatsListD.Count(); i++)
{
if (awayShotStatsListD[i].Team.ToLower().Contains(away.ToLower()))
{
defensiveRankA = normalisedDefensiveAway;
}
if ((i + 1) % 2 == 0)
{
normalisedDefensiveAway = normalisedDefensiveAway - 1;
}
}
#endregion
#region Calculations
var homeTotal = 0.0;
var awayTotal = 0.0;
var homePct = 0.0;
var awayPct = 0.0;
var homeGoalValue = 0.0;
var awayGoalValue = 0.0;
var resultString = "";
if (homeGoalsFor > awayGoalsFor)
{
homeGoalValue = homeGoalValue + 2;
}
else if (homeGoalsFor == awayGoalsFor)
{
homeGoalValue = homeGoalValue + 1;
awayGoalValue = awayGoalValue + 1;
}
else
{
awayGoalValue = awayGoalValue + 2;
}
if (homeGoalsFor > homeGoalsAgainst)
{
homeGoalValue = homeGoalValue + 1;
}
if (awayGoalsFor > awayGoalsAgainst)
{
awayGoalValue = awayGoalValue + 1;
}
var h2hMax = (h2h.Count * 3);
if (h2h.Count > 0)
{
homeh2hTotal = (homeh2hTotal / h2hMax) * 10;
awayh2hTotal = (awayh2hTotal / h2hMax) * 10;
}
else
{
homeh2hTotal = 0;
awayh2hTotal = 0;
}
var homeTeamStatScore = (Convert.ToDouble(offensiveRankH + defensiveRankH)) / 2;
var awayTeamStatScore = (Convert.ToDouble(offensiveRankA + defensiveRankA)) / 2;
homeTotal = (Convert.ToDouble(homeTeamFormValue + homeTeamOverallFormValue) / 3) + (homeGoalValue * 2) + (homeh2hTotal * 0.75) + (homeTeamStatScore * 0.20);
awayTotal = (Convert.ToDouble(awayTeamFormValue + awayTeamOverallFormValue) / 3) + (awayGoalValue * 2) + (awayh2hTotal * 0.75) + (awayTeamStatScore * 0.20);
homePct = (homeTotal / (homeTotal + awayTotal)) * 100;
awayPct = (awayTotal / (homeTotal + awayTotal)) * 100;
if (homePct >= 54.5)
{
resultString = "Home Win";
}
else if (awayPct >= 54.5)
{
resultString = "Away Win";
}
else
{
resultString = "Draw";
}
#endregion
var result = string.Format("{0} ({1}%) vs {2} ({3}%): {4}", home, Math.Round(homePct, 2), away, Math.Round(awayPct, 2), resultString);
var returnObject = new predictObject
{
predictedString = result,
predictedValue = resultString[0].ToString()
};
return returnObject;
}
