public DVPLI.EstimationResult Estimate(List <object> data, DVPLI.IEstimationSettings settings = null, DVPLI.IController controller = null, Dictionary <string, object> properties = null)
        {
            DVPLI.InterestRateMarketData irmd = data[0] as DVPLI.InterestRateMarketData;

            //Date today = new Date(15, Month.February, 2002);
            //Date settlement = new Date(19, Month.February, 2002);
            Settings.setEvaluationDate(irmd.Date);



            Handle <YieldTermStructure> termStructure = new Handle <YieldTermStructure>(new Utilities.ZeroRateFunction(irmd.Date, irmd.ZRMarketDates, irmd.ZRMarket));

            //termStructure.link
            HullWhite model = new HullWhite(termStructure);


            IborIndex index = new Euribor6M(termStructure);

            IPricingEngine engine = new JamshidianSwaptionEngine(model);

            List <CalibrationHelper> swaptions = new List <CalibrationHelper>();

            for (int i = 0; i < irmd.SwapDates.Length; i++)
            {
                for (int j = 0; j < irmd.SwapDuration.Length; j++)
                {
                    Quote             vol    = new SimpleQuote(irmd.SwaptionsVolatility[j, i]);
                    CalibrationHelper helper =
                        new SwaptionHelper(new Period((int)irmd.SwapDates[i], TimeUnit.Years),
                                           new Period((int)irmd.SwapDuration[j], TimeUnit.Years),
                                           new Handle <Quote>(vol),
                                           index,
                                           new Period(1, TimeUnit.Years),
                                           new Thirty360(),
                                           new Actual360(),
                                           termStructure,
                                           false);
                    helper.setPricingEngine(engine);
                    swaptions.Add(helper);
                }
            }

            // Set up the optimization problem
            LevenbergMarquardt optimizationMethod = new LevenbergMarquardt(1.0e-8, 1.0e-8, 1.0e-8);
            EndCriteria        endCriteria        = new EndCriteria(10000, 100, 1e-6, 1e-8, 1e-8);

            //Optimize
            model.calibrate(swaptions, optimizationMethod, endCriteria, new Constraint(), new List <double>());
            EndCriteria.Type ecType = model.endCriteria();


            Vector xMinCalculated = model.parameters();
            double yMinCalculated = model.value(xMinCalculated, swaptions);
            Vector xMinExpected   = new Vector(2);

            double yMinExpected = model.value(xMinExpected, swaptions);

            DVPLI.EstimationResult r = new DVPLI.EstimationResult(new string[] { "Alpha", "Sigma" }, new double[] { xMinCalculated[0], xMinCalculated[1] });
            return(r);
        }
Пример #2
0
        public void testCalibration()
        {
            // Testing calibration of a Libor forward model
            const int    size      = 14;
            const double tolerance = 8e-3;

            double[] capVols = { 0.145708, 0.158465, 0.166248, 0.168672,
                                 0.169007, 0.167956, 0.166261, 0.164239,
                                 0.162082, 0.159923, 0.157781, 0.155745,
                                 0.153776, 0.151950, 0.150189, 0.148582,
                                 0.147034, 0.145598, 0.144248 };

            double[] swaptionVols = { 0.170595, 0.166844, 0.158306, 0.147444,
                                      0.136930, 0.126833, 0.118135, 0.175963,
                                      0.166359, 0.155203, 0.143712, 0.132769,
                                      0.122947, 0.114310, 0.174455, 0.162265,
                                      0.150539, 0.138734, 0.128215, 0.118470,
                                      0.110540, 0.169780, 0.156860, 0.144821,
                                      0.133537, 0.123167, 0.114363, 0.106500,
                                      0.164521, 0.151223, 0.139670, 0.128632,
                                      0.119123, 0.110330, 0.103114, 0.158956,
                                      0.146036, 0.134555, 0.124393, 0.115038,
                                      0.106996, 0.100064 };

            IborIndex index = makeIndex();
            LiborForwardModelProcess    process       = new LiborForwardModelProcess(size, index);
            Handle <YieldTermStructure> termStructure = index.forwardingTermStructure();

            // set-up the model
            LmVolatilityModel volaModel = new LmExtLinearExponentialVolModel(process.fixingTimes(),
                                                                             0.5, 0.6, 0.1, 0.1);

            LmCorrelationModel corrModel = new LmLinearExponentialCorrelationModel(size, 0.5, 0.8);

            LiborForwardModel model = new LiborForwardModel(process, volaModel, corrModel);

            int        swapVolIndex = 0;
            DayCounter dayCounter   = index.forwardingTermStructure().link.dayCounter();

            // set-up calibration helper
            List <CalibrationHelper> calibrationHelper = new List <CalibrationHelper>();

            int i;

            for (i = 2; i < size; ++i)
            {
                Period         maturity = i * index.tenor();
                Handle <Quote> capVol   = new Handle <Quote>(new SimpleQuote(capVols[i - 2]));

                CalibrationHelper caphelper = new CapHelper(maturity, capVol, index, Frequency.Annual,
                                                            index.dayCounter(), true, termStructure, CalibrationHelper.CalibrationErrorType.ImpliedVolError);

                caphelper.setPricingEngine(new AnalyticCapFloorEngine(model, termStructure));

                calibrationHelper.Add(caphelper);

                if (i <= size / 2)
                {
                    // add a few swaptions to test swaption calibration as well
                    for (int j = 1; j <= size / 2; ++j)
                    {
                        Period         len         = j * index.tenor();
                        Handle <Quote> swaptionVol = new Handle <Quote>(
                            new SimpleQuote(swaptionVols[swapVolIndex++]));

                        CalibrationHelper swaptionHelper =
                            new SwaptionHelper(maturity, len, swaptionVol, index,
                                               index.tenor(), dayCounter,
                                               index.dayCounter(),
                                               termStructure, CalibrationHelper.CalibrationErrorType.ImpliedVolError);

                        swaptionHelper.setPricingEngine(new LfmSwaptionEngine(model, termStructure));

                        calibrationHelper.Add(swaptionHelper);
                    }
                }
            }

            LevenbergMarquardt om = new LevenbergMarquardt(1e-6, 1e-6, 1e-6);

            //ConjugateGradient gc = new ConjugateGradient();

            model.calibrate(calibrationHelper,
                            om,
                            new EndCriteria(2000, 100, 1e-6, 1e-6, 1e-6),
                            new Constraint(),
                            new List <double>());

            // measure the calibration error
            double calculated = 0.0;

            for (i = 0; i < calibrationHelper.Count; ++i)
            {
                double diff = calibrationHelper[i].calibrationError();
                calculated += diff * diff;
            }

            if (Math.Sqrt(calculated) > tolerance)
            {
                QAssert.Fail("Failed to calibrate libor forward model"
                             + "\n    calculated diff: " + Math.Sqrt(calculated)
                             + "\n    expected : smaller than  " + tolerance);
            }
        }
Пример #3
0
        public void testCachedHullWhite()
        {
            //("Testing Hull-White calibration against cached values...");

            Date today      = new Date(15, Month.February, 2002);
            Date settlement = new Date(19, Month.February, 2002);

            Settings.setEvaluationDate(today);
            Handle <YieldTermStructure> termStructure =
                new Handle <YieldTermStructure>(Utilities.flatRate(settlement, 0.04875825, new Actual365Fixed()));
            //termStructure.link
            HullWhite model = new HullWhite(termStructure);

            CalibrationData[] data = { new CalibrationData(1, 5, 0.1148),
                                       new CalibrationData(2, 4, 0.1108),
                                       new CalibrationData(3, 3, 0.1070),
                                       new CalibrationData(4, 2, 0.1021),
                                       new CalibrationData(5, 1, 0.1000) };
            IborIndex         index = new Euribor6M(termStructure);

            IPricingEngine engine = new JamshidianSwaptionEngine(model);

            List <CalibrationHelper> swaptions = new List <CalibrationHelper>();

            for (int i = 0; i < data.Length; i++)
            {
                Quote             vol    = new SimpleQuote(data[i].volatility);
                CalibrationHelper helper =
                    new SwaptionHelper(new Period(data[i].start, TimeUnit.Years),
                                       new Period(data[i].length, TimeUnit.Years),
                                       new Handle <Quote>(vol),
                                       index,
                                       new Period(1, TimeUnit.Years),
                                       new Thirty360(),
                                       new Actual360(),
                                       termStructure,
                                       false);
                helper.setPricingEngine(engine);
                swaptions.Add(helper);
            }

            // Set up the optimization problem
            // Real simplexLambda = 0.1;
            // Simplex optimizationMethod(simplexLambda);
            LevenbergMarquardt optimizationMethod = new LevenbergMarquardt(1.0e-8, 1.0e-8, 1.0e-8);
            EndCriteria        endCriteria        = new EndCriteria(10000, 100, 1e-6, 1e-8, 1e-8);

            //Optimize
            model.calibrate(swaptions, optimizationMethod, endCriteria, new Constraint(), new List <double>());
            EndCriteria.Type ecType = model.endCriteria();

            // Check and print out results
            #if QL_USE_INDEXED_COUPON
            double cachedA = 0.0488199, cachedSigma = 0.00593579;
            #else
            double cachedA = 0.0488565, cachedSigma = 0.00593662;
            #endif
            double tolerance = 1.120e-5;
            //double tolerance = 1.0e-6;
            Vector xMinCalculated = model.parameters();
            double yMinCalculated = model.value(xMinCalculated, swaptions);
            Vector xMinExpected   = new Vector(2);
            xMinExpected[0] = cachedA;
            xMinExpected[1] = cachedSigma;
            double yMinExpected = model.value(xMinExpected, swaptions);
            if (Math.Abs(xMinCalculated[0] - cachedA) > tolerance ||
                Math.Abs(xMinCalculated[1] - cachedSigma) > tolerance)
            {
                Assert.Fail("Failed to reproduce cached calibration results:\n"
                            + "calculated: a = " + xMinCalculated[0] + ", "
                            + "sigma = " + xMinCalculated[1] + ", "
                            + "f(a) = " + yMinCalculated + ",\n"
                            + "expected:   a = " + xMinExpected[0] + ", "
                            + "sigma = " + xMinExpected[1] + ", "
                            + "f(a) = " + yMinExpected + ",\n"
                            + "difference: a = " + (xMinCalculated[0] - xMinExpected[0]) + ", "
                            + "sigma = " + (xMinCalculated[1] - xMinExpected[1]) + ", "
                            + "f(a) = " + (yMinCalculated - yMinExpected) + ",\n"
                            + "end criteria = " + ecType);
            }
        }