public static FragilityCurve CalculateCombinedProbabilityFragilityCurve(HydraulicCondition[] conditions, CriticalPathElement[] treeEventCurves)
        {
            if (!CheckProbabilitiesAreEqual(conditions, treeEventCurves))
            {
                throw new ArgumentOutOfRangeException();
            }

            var curve = new FragilityCurve();

            for (int i = 0; i < conditions.Length - 1; i++)
            {
                double waterLevelProbability            = conditions[i].Probability;
                double nextWaterLevelProbability        = conditions[i + 1].Probability;
                double estimatedCombinedProbability     = CalculateConditionalProbability(conditions[i].WaterLevel, treeEventCurves);
                double nextEstimatedCombinedProbability = CalculateConditionalProbability(conditions[i + 1].WaterLevel, treeEventCurves);
                var    m9            = (estimatedCombinedProbability - nextEstimatedCombinedProbability) / Math.Log(waterLevelProbability / nextWaterLevelProbability);
                var    n9            = estimatedCombinedProbability - m9 * Math.Log(waterLevelProbability);
                var    interpiolated = (Probability)((n9 * waterLevelProbability + m9 * (waterLevelProbability * Math.Log(waterLevelProbability) - waterLevelProbability))
                                                     - (n9 * nextWaterLevelProbability + m9 * (nextWaterLevelProbability * Math.Log(nextWaterLevelProbability) - nextWaterLevelProbability)));
                curve.Add(new FragilityCurveElement(conditions[i].WaterLevel, interpiolated));
            }

            var lastCondition = conditions.Last();

            curve.Add(new FragilityCurveElement(lastCondition.WaterLevel, lastCondition.Probability));
            return(curve);
        }
예제 #2
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        public static FragilityCurve GetFragilityCurve(this TreeEvent treeEvent, IEnumerable <double> waterLevels)
        {
            switch (treeEvent.ProbabilitySpecificationType)
            {
            case ProbabilitySpecificationType.Classes:
                var classCurve = new FragilityCurve();
                foreach (var waterLevel in waterLevels)
                {
                    classCurve.Add(new FragilityCurveElement(waterLevel, GetClassesBasedProbabilityForWaterLevel(treeEvent, waterLevel)));
                }

                return(classCurve);

            case ProbabilitySpecificationType.FixedFreqeuncy:
                // TODO: Interpolate if necessary
                return(treeEvent.FixedFragilityCurve);

            case ProbabilitySpecificationType.FixedValue:
                var curve = new FragilityCurve();
                foreach (var waterLevel in waterLevels)
                {
                    curve.Add(new FragilityCurveElement(waterLevel, treeEvent.FixedProbability));
                }

                return(curve);

            default:
                throw new NotImplementedException();
            }
        }
예제 #3
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        public static FragilityCurve GetClassBasedLowerFragilityCurve(this TreeEvent treeEvent, IEnumerable <double> waterLevels)
        {
            var curve = new FragilityCurve();

            foreach (var waterLevel in waterLevels)
            {
                curve.Add(new FragilityCurveElement(waterLevel, GetClassesBasedProbabilityForWaterLevel(treeEvent, waterLevel, e => e.MinEstimation)));
            }

            return(curve);
        }
        public static FragilityCurve CalculateCombinedFragilityCurve(HydraulicCondition[] conditions, CriticalPathElement[] criticalPathElements)
        {
            if (!CheckProbabilitiesAreEqual(criticalPathElements))
            {
                throw new ArgumentOutOfRangeException();
            }

            var curve = new FragilityCurve();

            foreach (var condition in conditions)
            {
                curve.Add(new FragilityCurveElement(condition.WaterLevel, CalculateConditionalProbability(condition.WaterLevel, criticalPathElements)));
            }

            return(curve);
        }