public SoccerSimulationResult Simulate(SoccerSimulationData data)
{
var result = new SoccerSimulationResult();
var context = new SimulationContext(data, Settings);
foreach (var league in data.Leagues)
{
foreach (var gameweek in league.Gameweeks)
{
foreach (var fixture in gameweek.Fixtures)
{
if (Settings.CalculateOddsWhenSimulating)
fixture.Odds = CalculateOdds(fixture);
}
if (gameweek.Ended)
{
context.LastPlayedGameweek = gameweek;
}
var temp = new List<SoccerSimulationPlayerResult>();
var players = gameweek.GetPlayers();
foreach (var player in players)
{
if (Settings.FilterUnavailablePlayers)
{
if (player.Fantasy.Unavailable)
continue;
}
var res = AnalysePlayerResult(player, gameweek, context);
temp.Add(res);
}
var top = new List<SoccerSimulationPlayerResult>();
var recommended = temp.Where(x => x.RecommendationPoints > 0)
.OrderBy(x => (int) x.Player.Fantasy.Position)
.ThenByDescending(x => x.RecommendationPoints)
.ThenByDescending(x => x.EstimatedPoints)
.ToList();
var groups = recommended.GroupBy(x => x.Player.Fantasy.Position);
foreach (var group in groups)
{
var topForPosition = group.ToList();
if (Settings.TopRecommendationsPerPosition > 0)
topForPosition = topForPosition.Take(Settings.TopRecommendationsPerPosition).ToList();
top.AddRange(topForPosition);
// todo: if many with same recommendation points, then set a "uncertainty level" on player?
}
result.PlayerResults.Add(gameweek, top);
// todo: if players are recommended for several gameweeks (in a row), then recommend them even more
}
}
return result;
}
private SoccerSimulationPlayerResult AnalysePlayerResult(Player player, Gameweek gameweek, SimulationContext context)
{
var res = new SoccerSimulationPlayerResult();
res.Player = player;
var fixtures = gameweek.Fixtures.Where(x => x.HomeTeam?.Team?.ID == player.Team.ID || x.AwayTeam?.Team?.ID == player.Team.ID);
foreach (var fixture in fixtures)
{
if (!Settings.SimulateFinishedGames)
{
if (fixture.Statistics.GameFinished)
continue;
}
if (Settings.PlayerAnalysers != null)
{
foreach (var analyser in Settings.PlayerAnalysers)
{
if (!analyser.Enabled)
continue;
var rec = analyser.Analyse(player, fixture, context);
if (rec != null)
{
foreach (var r in rec)
{
if (r == null || r.Type == PlayerRecommendationType.None)
continue;
res.AddRecommendation(r);
}
}
}
}
if (Settings.TeamAnalysers != null)
{
foreach (var analyser in Settings.TeamAnalysers)
{
if (!analyser.Enabled)
continue;
var rec = analyser.Analyse(player, fixture, context);
if (rec != null)
{
foreach (var r in rec)
{
if (r == null || r.Type == TeamRecommendationType.None)
continue;
res.AddRecommendation(r);
}
}
}
}
#region OLD
/*
// Algorithms
// todo: give recommendation if is not Forward and tends to score/assist often
// todo: give recommendation if is defender, but plays as mid and tends to score (points for CS and goals)
// todo: logical number algorithm
// todo: remove magic numbers
var playerTeam = player.GetLeagueTeam(fixture);
var opposingTeam = player.GetOpposingTeam(fixture);
var homeTeamAdvantage = player.HasHomeTeamAdvantage(fixture);
var gameweeksFromLastPlayedGW = gameweek.Number - context.LastPlayedGameweek.Number;
//var odds = CalculateOdds(fixture);
var odds = fixture.Odds;
if (odds != null)
{
var teamBetter = homeTeamAdvantage
? odds.HomeWin < 2
: odds.AwayWin < 2;
var teamWorse = homeTeamAdvantage
? odds.HomeWin > 3
: odds.AwayWin > 3;
// todo: better team-vs-team quality check (with weight)
if (teamBetter)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.FixtureRatingDiff, 1);
else if (teamWorse)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.FixtureRatingDiff, -1);
}
// Positives
if (homeTeamAdvantage)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.HomeTeamAdvantage, 1);
if (Settings.MinimumFixturesForPlaytimeRecommendationBonus <= 0 ||
playerTeam.Statistics.PlayedGames >= Settings.MinimumFixturesForPlaytimeRecommendationBonus)
{
var teamPlayedMinutes = playerTeam.GetPlayedMinutesBeforeFixtureForTeam(fixture);
var playerMinutes = player.GetPlayedMinutesBeforeFixtureForPlayer(fixture);
if (teamPlayedMinutes > 0)
{
var playedPercentage = (double)playerMinutes / teamPlayedMinutes;
// Positives
if (playedPercentage >= (80d / 90))
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.PlayerPlaytime, 2);
//else if (playedPercentage >= (70d / 90))
// res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.PlayerPlaytime, 2);
else if (playedPercentage >= (60d / 90))
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.PlayerPlaytime, 1);
// Negatives
else if (playedPercentage <= 0.15)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.PlayerPlaytime, -1);
}
}
// Form
if (gameweeksFromLastPlayedGW > 0 &&
gameweeksFromLastPlayedGW <= Settings.LengthOfFormWhenSimulating)
{
// Good player form
if (Settings.MinimumFixturesForFormRecommendationBonus <= 0 ||
playerTeam.Statistics.PlayedGames >= Settings.MinimumFixturesForFormRecommendationBonus)
{
// Positives
if (player.Statistics.Form >= 15)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.PlayerForm, 3);
if (player.Statistics.Form >= 10)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.PlayerForm, 2);
else if (player.Statistics.Form >= 6)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.PlayerPlaytime, 1);
}
// Good team form
if (Settings.MinimumFixturesForFormRecommendationBonus <= 0 ||
playerTeam.Statistics.PlayedGames >= Settings.MinimumFixturesForFormRecommendationBonus)
{
// Positives
if (playerTeam.Statistics.Form >= 15)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.TeamForm, 3);
if (playerTeam.Statistics.Form >= 10)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.TeamForm, 2);
else if (playerTeam.Statistics.Form >= 6)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.TeamForm, 1);
}
}
// Negatives
if (player.Fantasy.ChanceOfPlayingNextFixture >= 0)
{
if (player.Fantasy.ChanceOfPlayingNextFixture <= 0)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.ChanceOfPlaying, -10);
else if (player.Fantasy.ChanceOfPlayingNextFixture <= 0.25)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.ChanceOfPlaying, -3);
else if (player.Fantasy.ChanceOfPlayingNextFixture <= 0.50)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.ChanceOfPlaying, -2);
else if (player.Fantasy.ChanceOfPlayingNextFixture <= 0.75)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.ChanceOfPlaying, -1);
}
if (player.Fantasy.Unavailable)
res.AddRecommendation(RecommendationType.PlayerUnavailable, -10);
*/
#endregion
}
return res;
}
