//this is asych for the calling Task.WhenAll
//but does not necessarily need internal asych awaits
public async Task RunAlgorithmAsync(List <List <double> > data)
{
try
{
//minimal data requirement is first five cols
if (_colNames.Count() < 5 ||
_mathTerms.Count() == 0)
{
ErrorMessage = "Regression requires at least one dependent variable and one independent variable.";
return;
}
if (data.Count() < 5)
{
//185 same as other analysis
ErrorMessage = "Regression requires at least 2 rows of observed data and 3 rows of scoring data.";
return;
}
//convert data to a Math.Net Matrix
//v185 uses same ci technique as algos 2,3 and 4 -last 3 rows are used to generate ci
List <List <double> > dataci = data.Skip(data.Count - _scoreRows).ToList();
data.Reverse();
List <List <double> > dataobs = data.Skip(_scoreRows).ToList();
dataobs.Reverse();
//actual observed values
Vector <double> y = Shared.GetYData(dataobs);
Matrix <double> x = Shared.GetDoubleMatrix(dataobs, _colNames, _depColNames);
Matrix <double> ci = Shared.GetDoubleMatrix(dataci, _colNames, _depColNames);
//model expected values - get the coefficents
//use normal equations regression
Vector <double> p = MultipleRegression.NormalEquations(x, y);
//but note that this runs without errors in more cases but still does not give good results
//Vector<double> p = MultipleRegression.QR(x, y);
if (p.Count() != ci.Row(_scoreRows - 1).Count())
{
//185 same as other analysis
ErrorMessage = "The scoring and training datasets have different numbers of columns.";
return;
}
//get the predicted yhats
Vector <double> yhat = GetYHatandSetQTPred(y.Count, x, p, ci.Row(_scoreRows - 1).ToArray());
//get the durbin-watson d statistic
double d = GetDurbinWatson(y, yhat);
double SSE = 0;
//sum of the square of the error (between the predicted, p, and observed, y);
SSE = Distance.SSD(yhat, y);
double rSquared = GoodnessOfFit.RSquared(yhat, y);
//sum of the square of the regression (between the predicted, p, and observed mean, statsY.Mean);
double SSR = 0;
for (int i = 0; i < yhat.Count(); i++)
{
SSR += Math.Pow((yhat[i] - y.Mean()), 2);
}
//set joint vars properties
//degrees freedom
double dfR = x.ColumnCount - 1;
double dfE = x.RowCount - x.ColumnCount;
int idfR = x.ColumnCount - 1;
int idfE = x.RowCount - x.ColumnCount;
double s2 = SSE / dfE;
double s = Math.Sqrt(s2);
double MSR = SSR / dfR;
double MSE = SSE / dfE;
double FValue = MSR / MSE;
double adjRSquared = 1 - ((x.RowCount - 1) * (MSE / (SSE + SSR)));
double pValue = Shared.GetPValueForFDist(idfR, idfE, FValue);
//correct 2 tailed t test
//double TCritialValue = ExcelFunctions.TInv(0.05, idfE);
//so do this
double dbCI = CalculatorHelpers.GetConfidenceIntervalProb(_confidenceInt);
double tCriticalValue = ExcelFunctions.TInv(dbCI, idfE);
//set each coeff properties
//coeffs st error
//use matrix math to get the standard error of coefficients
Matrix <double> xt = x.Transpose();
//matrix x'x
Matrix <double> xx = xt.Multiply(x);
Matrix <double> xxminus1 = xx.Inverse();
double sxx = 0;
double[] xiSE = new double[x.ColumnCount];
//coeff tstats
double[] xiT = new double[x.ColumnCount];
//lower value for pvalue
double[] xiP = new double[x.ColumnCount];
for (int i = 0; i < x.ColumnCount; i++)
{
//use the matrix techniques shown on p 717 of Mendenhall and Sincich
sxx = s * Math.Sqrt(xxminus1.Column(i)[i]);
xiSE[i] = sxx;
xiT[i] = p[i] / sxx;
xiP[i] = Shared.GetPValueForTDist(idfE, xiT[i], 0, 1);
}
double FCriticalValue = 0;
string FGreaterFCritical = string.Empty;
if (_subalgorithm == Calculator1.MATH_SUBTYPES.subalgorithm8.ToString())
{
//anova regression
//anova critical fvalue test
//FCriticalValue = ExcelFunctions.FInv(1 - _confidenceInt, idfR, idfE);
FCriticalValue = ExcelFunctions.FInv(dbCI, idfR, idfE);
FGreaterFCritical = (FValue > FCriticalValue) ? "true" : "false";
SetAnovaIntervals(0, p, xiSE, tCriticalValue);
SetAnovaIntervals(1, p, xiSE, tCriticalValue);
SetAnovaIntervals(2, p, xiSE, tCriticalValue);
}
else
{
//set QTM ci and pi intervals
SetQTIntervals(0, s, xxminus1, ci.Row(_scoreRows - 1).ToArray(), p, tCriticalValue);
SetQTIntervals(1, s, xxminus1, ci.Row(_scoreRows - 2).ToArray(), p, tCriticalValue);
SetQTIntervals(2, s, xxminus1, ci.Row(_scoreRows - 3).ToArray(), p, tCriticalValue);
}
//add the data to a string builder
StringBuilder sb = new StringBuilder();
sb.AppendLine("regression results");
//dep var has to be in the 4 column always
string sLine = string.Concat("dependent variable: ", _colNames[3]);
sb.AppendLine(sLine);
string[] cols = new string[] { "source", "df", "SS", "MS" };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, true));
cols = new string[] { "model", dfR.ToString("F0"), SSR.ToString("F4"), MSR.ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
cols = new string[] { "error ", dfE.ToString("F0"), SSE.ToString("F4"), MSE.ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
cols = new string[] { "total ", (dfR + dfE).ToString("F0"), (SSR + SSE).ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
sb.AppendLine(string.Empty);
cols = new string[] { "R-squared", rSquared.ToString("F4"), "Adj R-squared", adjRSquared.ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
cols = new string[] { "F value", FValue.ToString("F4"), "prob > F", pValue.ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
sb.AppendLine(string.Empty);
cols = new string[] { GetName("variable"), "coefficient", "stand error", "T-ratio", "prob > T" };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, true));
for (int i = 0; i < p.Count(); i++)
{
if (i == 0)
{
cols = new string[] { GetName(_depColNames[i]), p[i].ToString("F5"), xiSE[i].ToString("F4"), xiT[i].ToString("F4"), xiP[i].ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
}
else
{
cols = new string[] { GetName(_depColNames[i]), p[i].ToString("F5"), xiSE[i].ToString("F4"), xiT[i].ToString("F4"), xiP[i].ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
}
}
cols = new string[] { "durbin-watson: ", d.ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
if (_subalgorithm == Calculator1.MATH_SUBTYPES.subalgorithm8.ToString())
{
cols = new string[] { "F Critical Value", FCriticalValue.ToString("F5"), "F > F Critical", FGreaterFCritical };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, true));
cols = new string[] { "estimate", "predicted", string.Concat("lower ", _confidenceInt.ToString(), "%"), string.Concat("upper ", _confidenceInt.ToString(), "%") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, true));
cols = new string[] { "Col 0 Mean CI ", QTPredicted.ToString("F4"), QTL.ToString("F4"), QTU.ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
cols = new string[] { "Col 1 - 0 Mean CI ", QTPredicted10.ToString("F4"), QTL10.ToString("F4"), QTU10.ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
cols = new string[] { "Col 2 - 0 Mean CI ", QTPredicted20.ToString("F4"), QTL20.ToString("F4"), QTU20.ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
}
else
{
cols = new string[] { "estimate", "predicted", string.Concat("lower ", _confidenceInt.ToString(), "%"), string.Concat("upper ", _confidenceInt.ToString(), "%") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, true));
cols = new string[] { "QTM CI ", QTPredicted.ToString("F4"), QTL.ToString("F4"), QTU.ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
cols = new string[] { "QTM PI ", QTPredicted.ToString("F4"), (QTPredicted - QTPI).ToString("F4"), (QTPredicted + QTPI).ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
string sRow = string.Concat("row ", data.Count - 2);
cols = new string[] { sRow };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, true));
cols = new string[] { "CI ", QTPredicted10.ToString("F4"), QTL10.ToString("F4"), QTU10.ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
cols = new string[] { "PI ", QTPredicted10.ToString("F4"), (QTPredicted10 - QTPI10).ToString("F4"), (QTPredicted10 + QTPI10).ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
sRow = string.Concat("row ", data.Count - 1);
cols = new string[] { sRow };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, true));
cols = new string[] { "CI ", QTPredicted20.ToString("F4"), QTL20.ToString("F4"), QTU20.ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
cols = new string[] { "PI ", QTPredicted20.ToString("F4"), (QTPredicted20 - QTPI20).ToString("F4"), (QTPredicted20 + QTPI20).ToString("F4") };
sb.AppendLine(Shared.GetLine(cols, false));
}
if (this.MathResult.ToLower().StartsWith("http"))
{
string sError = string.Empty;
bool bHasSaved = CalculatorHelpers.SaveTextInURI(
_params.ExtensionDocToCalcURI, sb.ToString(), this.MathResult, out sError);
if (!string.IsNullOrEmpty(sError))
{
this.MathResult += sError;
}
}
else
{
this.MathResult = sb.ToString();
}
}
catch (Exception ex)
{
this.ErrorMessage = ex.Message;
}
}