Exemple #1
0
        public static void SmallTreeBetaGraph()
        {
            int numberOfSteps = 10;
            var tree          = new CapmBinTree(numberOfSteps);

            tree.InitialStockPrice = 100;
            tree.Volatility        = 0.2;
            tree.StrikePrice       = 105;
            tree.TotalTimeYears    = 0.5;
            tree.RiskFree          = 0.03;
            tree.MarketRiskPremium = 0.06;
            tree.StockBeta         = 1;
            // B&S = call: 4.17 (con strike =105)

            double callPriceBS = BlackScholes.CallPrice((double)tree.InitialStockPrice,
                                                        (double)tree.StrikePrice,
                                                        (double)tree.TotalTimeYears,
                                                        (double)tree.RiskFree,
                                                        (double)tree.Volatility);

            Console.WriteLine("call B&S: " + callPriceBS.ToString("##0.######"));


            tree.CalculateStockPrices();
            tree.CalculateOptionPrices();

            Console.WriteLine();
            OutputTree(tree, delegate(BinTree.Node node) {
                return((-node.ReplPortBond / (node.StockPrice * node.ReplPortDelta + node.ReplPortBond)).ToString("##0.##"));
            });
        }
Exemple #2
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        private static void SingleConvergeTest()
        {
            int numberOfSteps = 2000;
            var tree          = new CapmBinTree(numberOfSteps);

            tree.InitialStockPrice = 100;
            tree.Volatility        = 0.2;
            tree.StrikePrice       = 105;
            tree.TotalTimeYears    = 0.5;
            tree.RiskFree          = 0.03;
            tree.MarketRiskPremium = 0.06;
            tree.StockBeta         = 1;
            // B&S = call: 4.17 (con strike =105)

            double callPriceBS = BlackScholes.CallPrice((double)tree.InitialStockPrice,
                                                        (double)tree.StrikePrice,
                                                        (double)tree.TotalTimeYears,
                                                        (double)tree.RiskFree,
                                                        (double)tree.Volatility);

            Console.WriteLine("call B&S: " + callPriceBS.ToString("##0.######"));


            tree.CalculateStockPrices();
            tree.CalculateOptionPrices();

            Console.WriteLine();
            //OutputTree(tree, delegate(BinTree.Node node) { return node.StockPrice.ToString("##0.##"); });
            Console.WriteLine("call: " + tree.GetRootNode().OptionPrice.ToString("##0.######"));
        }
Exemple #3
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        public void IterateNodes()
        {
            var tree  = new CapmBinTree(4);
            var nodes = new System.Collections.Generic.List <BinTree.Node>(tree.IterateNodesOfStep(4));

            Assert.AreEqual(4, nodes.Count);
            Assert.AreEqual(7, nodes[0].NodeIndex);
            Assert.AreEqual(8, nodes[1].NodeIndex);
            Assert.AreEqual(9, nodes[2].NodeIndex);
            Assert.AreEqual(10, nodes[3].NodeIndex);
        }
Exemple #4
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        private static void IterateByAmountOfSteps()
        {
            double InitialStockPrice = 100;
            double Volatility        = 0.2;
            double StrikePrice       = 105;
            double TotalTimeYears    = 0.5;
            double RiskFree          = 0.03;
            double MarketRiskPremium = 0.06;
            double StockBeta         = 1;
            double callPriceBS       = BlackScholes.CallPrice((double)InitialStockPrice,
                                                              (double)StrikePrice,
                                                              (double)TotalTimeYears,
                                                              (double)RiskFree,
                                                              (double)Volatility);

            int minNumberOfSteps = 7000;
            int maxNumberOfSteps = 9000;

            bool createHeaders = !File.Exists("output.csv");


            using (var writer = new StreamWriter("output.csv", true))
            {
                if (createHeaders)
                {
                    writer.WriteLine("Steps,CallValueBS,CallValueCAPM");
                }

                var tree = new CapmBinTree(maxNumberOfSteps);

                tree.InitialStockPrice = InitialStockPrice;
                tree.Volatility        = Volatility;
                tree.StrikePrice       = StrikePrice;
                tree.TotalTimeYears    = TotalTimeYears;
                tree.RiskFree          = RiskFree;
                tree.MarketRiskPremium = MarketRiskPremium;
                tree.StockBeta         = StockBeta;

                for (int steps = minNumberOfSteps; steps < maxNumberOfSteps; steps += (int)Math.Pow(Math.Log10(steps), 3))
                {
                    tree.NumberOfSteps = steps;
                    tree.ResetTreeParameterCalcs();
                    tree.CalculateStockPrices();
                    tree.CalculateOptionPrices();

                    writer.WriteLine(steps + "," + callPriceBS.ToString("##0.#############################") +
                                     ", " + tree.GetRootNode().OptionPrice.ToString("##0.#############################"));

                    writer.Flush();

                    Console.WriteLine("Step Number: " + steps);
                }
            }
        }
Exemple #5
0
        public void RecombineNodesInTree()
        {
            var tree = new CapmBinTree(4);

            var node2 = tree.GetUpDependantNode(tree.GetRootNode());
            var node3 = tree.GetDownDependantNode(tree.GetRootNode());

            Assert.AreEqual(2, node2.NodeIndex);
            Assert.AreEqual(3, node3.NodeIndex);

            var node5A = tree.GetDownDependantNode(node2);
            var node5B = tree.GetUpDependantNode(node3);

            Assert.AreSame(node5A, node5B);
        }
Exemple #6
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        /// <summary>
        /// Grafico en 3D de la beta en cada nodo. Grafica todo el arbol. 3D TREE!
        /// </summary>
        private static void BetaGraph3()
        {
            const string graphPrefix = "beta_graph_3";

            int    numberOfSteps     = 200; //7000
            double InitialStockPrice = 100;
            double Volatility        = 0.2;
            double StrikePrice       = 105;
            double TotalTimeYears    = 0.5;
            double RiskFree          = 0.03;
            double MarketRiskPremium = 0.06;
            double StockBeta         = 1;

            const int showOneEveryNSteps = 2;             //50 (QUE SEA PAR!)
            const int showOneEveryNNodes = 1;             //4 (QUE SEA PAR!)

            var tree = new CapmBinTree(numberOfSteps);

            tree.InitialStockPrice = InitialStockPrice;
            tree.Volatility        = Volatility;
            tree.StrikePrice       = StrikePrice;
            tree.TotalTimeYears    = TotalTimeYears;
            tree.RiskFree          = RiskFree;
            tree.MarketRiskPremium = MarketRiskPremium;
            tree.StockBeta         = StockBeta;

            Console.WriteLine("Calculating stock prices...");
            tree.CalculateStockPrices();

            Console.WriteLine("Calculating option prices...");
            tree.CalculateOptionPrices();

            Console.WriteLine("Outputing the betas...");


            //OutputTree(tree, delegate(BinTree.Node node) { return node.StockPrice.ToString("##0.##"); });	return;


            Console.WriteLine("The format of the output file will be (col and row headers excl):");
            Console.WriteLine("      P=120 P=119 ... P=100 ... P=80");
            Console.WriteLine("t=1     B     B         B         B ");
            Console.WriteLine("t=2     B     B         B         B ");
            Console.WriteLine("t=...   B     B         B         B ");
            Console.WriteLine("(where B is the beta of that node)");

            List <double> pricesSaved = new List <double>(500);
            List <int>    stepNumbers = new List <int>(500);

            using (var writer = new StreamWriter(graphPrefix + ".matrix", false))
            {
                int lastStepNumber;

                // Find the last step, and the steps to print
                for (int s = 1; s < numberOfSteps; s += showOneEveryNSteps)
                {
                    stepNumbers.Add(s);
                }
                lastStepNumber = stepNumbers[stepNumbers.Count - 1];

                // Find the prices that will be outputed
                int idx = 0;
                foreach (var node in tree.IterateNodesOfStep(lastStepNumber))
                {
                    if ((idx++ % showOneEveryNNodes) != 0)
                    {
                        continue;
                    }
                    pricesSaved.Add(node.StockPrice);
                }

                PrintMatrixFileHeaders(writer, "betas", stepNumbers.Count, pricesSaved.Count);

                // only output half of the nodes, para que los nodos coincidan (por ser recombinante)!
                int    totalPrices = pricesSaved.Count;
                double beta;
                foreach (int step in stepNumbers)
                {
                    var nodes        = new List <BinTree.Node>(tree.IterateNodesOfStep(step));
                    var nodesMatched = nodes.FindAll(n => pricesSaved.FindIndex(p => AreDoublesEqual(p, n.StockPrice)) >= 0);

                    int nodesRemainingEachSide = (totalPrices - nodesMatched.Count) / 2;

                    // Print left missing nodes
                    for (var n = 0; n < nodesRemainingEachSide; n++)
                    {
                        writer.Write(" 999999");
                    }

                    // Print existent nodes
                    foreach (var node in nodesMatched)
                    {
                        beta = node.OptionBeta;
                        if (beta <= 0 || beta > 999999)
                        {
                            beta = 999999;
                        }
                        writer.Write(" " + beta.ToString("0.##"));
                    }

                    // Print right missing nodes
                    for (var n = 0; n < nodesRemainingEachSide; n++)
                    {
                        writer.Write(" 999999");
                    }

                    writer.WriteLine();
                }
                writer.Flush();
            }

            Console.WriteLine("Output saved. See: " + graphPrefix + ".matrix");
            Console.WriteLine("Now saving price list and step list.");


            using (var writer = new StreamWriter(graphPrefix + "-prices.matrix", false))
            {
                PrintMatrixFileHeaders(writer, "prices", pricesSaved.Count, 1);
                foreach (var p in pricesSaved)
                {
                    writer.WriteLine(" " + p.ToString("0.##"));
                }
            }

            using (var writer = new StreamWriter(graphPrefix + "-steps.matrix", false))
            {
                PrintMatrixFileHeaders(writer, "steps", stepNumbers.Count, 1);
                foreach (var p in stepNumbers)
                {
                    writer.WriteLine(" " + p);
                }
            }

            Console.WriteLine("Now done! See: <" + graphPrefix + "-prices.matrix> and <" + graphPrefix + "-steps.matrix>");
        }
Exemple #7
0
        /// <summary>
        /// Datos de las betas segun el percentil del valor del arbol (beta en 10% sup, 20% sup, ...)
        /// </summary>
        private static void BetaGraph1()
        {
            int    numberOfSteps     = 2000;
            double InitialStockPrice = 100;
            double Volatility        = 0.2;
            double StrikePrice       = 105;
            double TotalTimeYears    = 0.5;
            double RiskFree          = 0.03;
            double MarketRiskPremium = 0.06;
            double StockBeta         = 1;

            var tree = new CapmBinTree(numberOfSteps);

            tree.InitialStockPrice = InitialStockPrice;
            tree.Volatility        = Volatility;
            tree.StrikePrice       = StrikePrice;
            tree.TotalTimeYears    = TotalTimeYears;
            tree.RiskFree          = RiskFree;
            tree.MarketRiskPremium = MarketRiskPremium;
            tree.StockBeta         = StockBeta;

            Console.WriteLine("Calculating stock prices...");
            tree.CalculateStockPrices();

            Console.WriteLine("Calculating option prices...");
            tree.CalculateOptionPrices();

            Console.WriteLine("Outputing the betas...");

            int divisions = 70;

            using (var writer = new StreamWriter("beta_graph_1.csv", false))
            {
                writer.Write("Step");
                for (int i = 1; i <= divisions; i++)
                {
                    writer.Write(",n" + i);
                }
                writer.WriteLine();


                var indexes = new List <int>(divisions);
                for (int step = 1; step < numberOfSteps; step++)
                {
                    int nodeCount = BinTree.GetIndexLastNodeInStep(step) - BinTree.GetIndexFirstNodeInStep(step);
                    indexes.Clear();
                    for (int stp = 0; stp < divisions; stp++)
                    {
                        indexes.Add(nodeCount * stp / divisions);
                    }

                    writer.Write(step + ",");

                    int i = 0;
                    foreach (var node in tree.IterateNodesOfStep(step))
                    {
                        if (indexes.Contains(i))
                        {
                            if (node.OptionBeta <= 0)
                            {
                                break;
                            }
                            writer.Write(node.OptionBeta + ",");
                        }
                        i++;
                    }
                    writer.WriteLine();
                }
            }

            Console.WriteLine("Done. See: beta_graph_1.csv");
        }
Exemple #8
0
        /// <summary>
        /// Grafico en 3D de la beta en cada nodo, de forma que salga un cuadrado
        /// correspondiente al centro del arbol
        /// </summary>
        private static void BetaGraph2()
        {
            int    numberOfSteps     = 100; //7000
            double InitialStockPrice = 100;
            double Volatility        = 0.2;
            double StrikePrice       = 105;
            double TotalTimeYears    = 0.5;
            double RiskFree          = 0.03;
            double MarketRiskPremium = 0.06;
            double StockBeta         = 1;


            const int minPrice           = 60;
            const int maxPrice           = 140;
            const int showOneEveryNSteps = 2;             //50
            const int showOneEveryNNodes = 1;             //4

            var tree = new CapmBinTree(numberOfSteps);

            tree.InitialStockPrice = InitialStockPrice;
            tree.Volatility        = Volatility;
            tree.StrikePrice       = StrikePrice;
            tree.TotalTimeYears    = TotalTimeYears;
            tree.RiskFree          = RiskFree;
            tree.MarketRiskPremium = MarketRiskPremium;
            tree.StockBeta         = StockBeta;

            Console.WriteLine("Calculating stock prices...");
            tree.CalculateStockPrices();

            Console.WriteLine("Calculating option prices...");
            tree.CalculateOptionPrices();

            Console.WriteLine("Outputing the betas...");


            //OutputTree(tree, delegate(BinTree.Node node) { return node.StockPrice.ToString("##0.##"); });	return;


            Console.WriteLine("The format of the output file will be (col and row headers excl):");
            Console.WriteLine("      P=120 P=119 ... P=100 ... P=80");
            Console.WriteLine("t=1     B     B         B         B ");
            Console.WriteLine("t=2     B     B         B         B ");
            Console.WriteLine("t=...   B     B         B         B ");
            Console.WriteLine("(where B is the beta of that node)");

            List <double> pricesSaved = new List <double>(500);
            List <int>    stepNumbers = new List <int>(500);

            using (var writer = new StreamWriter("beta_graph_2.matrix", false))
            {
                bool headersPrinted            = false;
                bool pricesAlreadyStoredInList = false;

                // only output half of the nodes, para que los nodos coincidan (por ser recombinante)!
                for (int step = 1; step < numberOfSteps; step += showOneEveryNSteps)
                {
                    int idx = 0;
                    if (!headersPrinted)
                    {
                        // Skip first steps where are only a few nodes.
                        if (tree.GetFirstNodeInStep(step).StockPrice <= maxPrice)
                        {
                            continue;
                        }
                        if (tree.GetLastNodeInStep(step).StockPrice >= minPrice)
                        {
                            continue;
                        }

                        // I cannot do the last node index less the first index because it
                        // might happen that the upper node is OK while the bottom node
                        // is still not down enough
                        int inboundNodes = 0;
                        foreach (var node in tree.IterateNodesOfStep(step))
                        {
                            // skip higher order and less order nodes
                            if (node.StockPrice > maxPrice)
                            {
                                continue;
                            }
                            if (node.StockPrice < minPrice)
                            {
                                continue;
                            }

                            if ((idx++ % showOneEveryNNodes) != 0)
                            {
                                continue;
                            }

                            inboundNodes++;
                        }

                        int rows = (int)Math.Ceiling((double)(numberOfSteps - step + 1) / showOneEveryNSteps);
                        PrintMatrixFileHeaders(writer, "betas", rows, inboundNodes);

                        headersPrinted = true;
                    }

                    bool firstNode = true;
                    idx = 0;
                    foreach (var node in tree.IterateNodesOfStep(step))
                    {
                        if (firstNode)
                        {
                            stepNumbers.Add(step);
                        }
                        firstNode = false;

                        // skip higher order and less order nodes
                        if (node.StockPrice > maxPrice)
                        {
                            continue;
                        }
                        if (node.StockPrice < minPrice)
                        {
                            continue;
                        }

                        if ((idx++ % showOneEveryNNodes) != 0)
                        {
                            continue;
                        }

                        if (!pricesAlreadyStoredInList)
                        {
                            pricesSaved.Add(node.StockPrice);
                        }

                        if (node.OptionBeta <= 0 || node.OptionBeta > 999999)
                        {
                            node.OptionBeta = 999999;
                        }
                        writer.Write(" " + node.OptionBeta.ToString("0.##"));
                    }
                    if (!firstNode)
                    {
                        writer.WriteLine();
                    }

                    if (pricesSaved.Count > 0)
                    {
                        pricesAlreadyStoredInList = true;
                    }
                }
                writer.Flush();
            }

            Console.WriteLine("Output saved. See: beta_graph_2.matrix");
            Console.WriteLine("Now saving price list and step list.");


            using (var writer = new StreamWriter("beta_graph_2-prices.matrix", false))
            {
                PrintMatrixFileHeaders(writer, "prices", pricesSaved.Count, 1);
                foreach (var p in pricesSaved)
                {
                    writer.WriteLine(" " + p.ToString("0.##"));
                }
            }

            using (var writer = new StreamWriter("beta_graph_2-steps.matrix", false))
            {
                PrintMatrixFileHeaders(writer, "steps", stepNumbers.Count, 1);
                foreach (var p in stepNumbers)
                {
                    writer.WriteLine(" " + p);
                }
            }

            Console.WriteLine("Now done! See: <beta_graph_2-prices.matrix> and <beta_graph_2-steps.matrix>");
        }