Ejemplo n.º 1
0
        private static void StandardWeightingCombinations(out WeightingCombination[] WeightingCombinations, Timestep baseYear)
        {
            var i_weightingCombinations = new List <WeightingCombination>();

            WeightingCombination w;

            w = new WeightingCombination();
            w.Add(new RamseyRegionalDiscounting(0.00));
            i_weightingCombinations.Add(w);

            w = new WeightingCombination();
            w.Add(new ConstantDiscountrate(0.0));
            w.Add(new EquityWeighting(50, -1, 1.0));
            i_weightingCombinations.Add(w);

            w = new WeightingCombination();
            w.Add(new RamseyRegionalDiscounting(0.01));
            i_weightingCombinations.Add(w);

            w = new WeightingCombination();
            w.Add(new ConstantDiscountrate(0.01));
            w.Add(new EquityWeighting(50, -1, 1.0));
            i_weightingCombinations.Add(w);

            w = new WeightingCombination();
            w.Add(new RamseyRegionalDiscounting(0.03));
            i_weightingCombinations.Add(w);

            w = new WeightingCombination();
            w.Add(new ConstantDiscountrate(0.03));
            w.Add(new EquityWeighting(50, -1, 1.0));
            i_weightingCombinations.Add(w);

            WeightingCombinations = i_weightingCombinations.ToArray();
        }
Ejemplo n.º 2
0
        private static void StandardWeightingCombinations(out WeightingCombination[] WeightingCombinations, Timestep baseYear)
        {
            var i_weightingCombinations = new List<WeightingCombination>();

            WeightingCombination w;

            w = new WeightingCombination();
            w.Add(new RamseyRegionalDiscounting(0.00));
            i_weightingCombinations.Add(w);

            w = new WeightingCombination();
            w.Add(new ConstantDiscountrate(0.0));
            w.Add(new EquityWeighting(50, -1, 1.0));
            i_weightingCombinations.Add(w);

            w = new WeightingCombination();
            w.Add(new RamseyRegionalDiscounting(0.01));
            i_weightingCombinations.Add(w);

            w = new WeightingCombination();
            w.Add(new ConstantDiscountrate(0.01));
            w.Add(new EquityWeighting(50, -1, 1.0));
            i_weightingCombinations.Add(w);

            w = new WeightingCombination();
            w.Add(new RamseyRegionalDiscounting(0.03));
            i_weightingCombinations.Add(w);

            w = new WeightingCombination();
            w.Add(new ConstantDiscountrate(0.03));
            w.Add(new EquityWeighting(50, -1, 1.0));
            i_weightingCombinations.Add(w);

            WeightingCombinations = i_weightingCombinations.ToArray();
        }
Ejemplo n.º 3
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 public static void GetWeightingCombinationsFromName(string name, out WeightingCombination[] i_WeightingCombinations, Timestep baseYear)
 {
     switch (name)
     {
         case "Standard": StandardWeightingCombinations(out i_WeightingCombinations, baseYear); break;
         case "Raw": RawWeightingCombinations(out i_WeightingCombinations, baseYear); break;
         default: throw new ApplicationException("Invalid weighting scheme");
     }
 }
Ejemplo n.º 4
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        private static void RawWeightingCombinations(out WeightingCombination[] WeightingCombinations, Timestep baseYear)
        {
            var i_weightingCombinations = new List <WeightingCombination>();

            WeightingCombination w;

            w = new WeightingCombination("RAW");
            w.Add(new UnityWeight());
            i_weightingCombinations.Add(w);

            WeightingCombinations = i_weightingCombinations.ToArray();
        }
Ejemplo n.º 5
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        private static void RawWeightingCombinations(out WeightingCombination[] WeightingCombinations, Timestep baseYear)
        {
            var i_weightingCombinations = new List<WeightingCombination>();

            WeightingCombination w;

            w = new WeightingCombination("RAW");
            w.Add(new UnityWeight());
            i_weightingCombinations.Add(w);

            WeightingCombinations = i_weightingCombinations.ToArray();
        }
Ejemplo n.º 6
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        public void WriteSummaryDamage(int WeightingschemeId, double bgDamage, IEnumerable<double> damages, WeightingCombination[] WeightingCombinations)
        {
            if (SummaryCsv != null)
            {
                int gas = (int)_gas;

                var stats = new DescriptiveStatistics(damages);

                var sortedDamages = damages.OrderBy(i => i).ToArray();

                double count = sortedDamages.Length;

                int skiptake0_001 = (int)(count * 0.001 / 2.0);
                int skiptake0_01 = (int)(count * 0.01 / 2.0);
                int skiptake0_05 = (int)(count * 0.05 / 2.0);

                var trimmedMean0_001 = sortedDamages.Skip(skiptake0_001).Take(sortedDamages.Length - 2 * skiptake0_001).Mean();

                var trimmedMean0_01 = sortedDamages.Skip(skiptake0_01).Take(sortedDamages.Length - 2 * skiptake0_01).Mean();

                var trimmedMean0_05 = sortedDamages.Skip(skiptake0_05).Take(sortedDamages.Length - 2 * skiptake0_05).Mean();

                SummaryCsv.WriteLine("{0};{1};{2};{3};{4:f15};{5:f15};{6:f15};{7:f15};{8:f15};{9:f15};{10:f15};{11:f15};{12:f15};{13:f15};{14:f15};{15:f15};{16:f15}",
                    OutputVerbal ? ScenarioName : ScenarioId.ToString(),
                    OutputVerbal ? (gas == 0 ? "C" : gas == 1 ? "CH4" : gas == 2 ? "N2O" : gas == 3 ? "SF6" : "ERROR") : ((int)_gas).ToString(),
                    _emissionyear,
                    OutputVerbal ? WeightingCombinations[WeightingschemeId].Name : WeightingschemeId.ToString(),
                    bgDamage,
                    stats.Mean,
                    trimmedMean0_001,
                    trimmedMean0_01,
                    trimmedMean0_05,
                    stats.Median,
                    stats.StandardDeviation,
                    stats.Variance,
                    stats.Skewness,
                    stats.Kurtosis,
                    stats.Minimum,
                    stats.Maximum,
                    Math.Sqrt(stats.Variance) / Math.Sqrt(stats.Count)
                    );

            }
        }
Ejemplo n.º 7
0
        public void WriteMarginalDamage(int RunId, Damage i_Damage, int WeightingschemeId, double Weight, WeightingCombination[] WeightingCombinations)
        {
            if (m_YearRegionSectorWeightingSchemeCsv != null)
            {
                int gas = Convert.ToInt32(_gas);

                m_YearRegionSectorWeightingSchemeCsv.WriteLine(
                    (OutputVerbal ? ScenarioName : ScenarioId.ToString()) +
                    ";" +
                    (OutputVerbal ? (RunId == 0 ? "Best guess" : RunId == -1 ? "Mean" : RunId.ToString()) : RunId.ToString()) +
                    ";" +
                    (OutputVerbal ? (gas == 0 ? "C" : gas == 1 ? "CH4" : gas == 2 ? "N2O" : gas == 3 ? "SF6" : "ERROR") : ((int)_gas).ToString()) +
                    ";" +
                    _emissionyear.ToString() +
                    ";" +
                    (i_Damage.Year + 1950).ToString() +
                    ";" +
                    (OutputVerbal ? i_Damage.Region.ToString() : i_Damage.Region.ToString()) +
                    ";" +
                    (OutputVerbal ? Enum.GetName(typeof(Sector), i_Damage.Sector) : ((int)i_Damage.Sector).ToString()) +
                    ";" +
                    (OutputVerbal ? WeightingCombinations[WeightingschemeId].Name : WeightingschemeId.ToString()) +
                    ";" +
                    (i_Damage.DamageValue * Weight).ToString("f15")
                    );
            }
        }
Ejemplo n.º 8
0
        public void WriteAggregateDamage(int RunId, int WeightingschemeId, double Damage, WeightingCombination[] WeightingCombinations)
        {
            if (!CalculateMeanForMonteCarlo && (RunId == -1))
                return;
            else if (!OutputAllMonteCarloRuns && (RunId > 0))
                return;

            if (m_AggregateDamageCsv != null)
            {
                int gas = (int)_gas;

                m_AggregateDamageCsv.WriteLine(
                    (OutputVerbal ? ScenarioName : ScenarioId.ToString()) +
                    ";" +
                    (OutputVerbal ? (gas == 0 ? "C" : gas == 1 ? "CH4" : gas == 2 ? "N2O" : gas == 3 ? "SF6" : "ERROR") : ((int)_gas).ToString()) +
                    ";" +
                    _emissionyear.ToString() +
                    ";" +
                    (OutputVerbal ? (RunId == 0 ? "Best guess" : RunId == -1 ? "Mean" : RunId.ToString()) : RunId.ToString()) +
                    ";" +
                    (OutputVerbal ? WeightingCombinations[WeightingschemeId].Name : WeightingschemeId.ToString()) +
                    ";" +
                    Damage.ToString("f15")
                    );

            }
        }
Ejemplo n.º 9
0
        public double[] DoOneRun(int RunId, WeightingCombination[] i_weightingCombinations, ParameterValues parameters)
        {
            ModelOutput i_output2;
            Damages i_marginalDamages;
            double i_aggregatedDamage;
            ModelOutput i_output1;

            // Create Output object for run 1, set addmp to 0 so that
            // the extra greenhouse gases are not emitted and then run
            // the model
            i_output1 = new ModelOutput();

            var f1 = FundModel.GetModel();
            f1["ImpactWaterResources"].Variables["water"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactForests"].Variables["forests"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactHeating"].Variables["heating"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactCooling"].Variables["cooling"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactAgriculture"].Variables["agcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["drycost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["protcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["entercost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactTropicalStorms"].Variables["hurrdam"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactExtratropicalStorms"].Variables["extratropicalstormsdam"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactBioDiversity"].Variables["species"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactDeathMorbidity"].Variables["deadcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactDeathMorbidity"].Variables["morbcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["wetcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["leavecost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["SocioEconomic"].Variables["income"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["Population"].Variables["population"].StoreOutput = true;

            if (AdditionalInitCode != null)
                AdditionalInitCode(f1);

            var result1 = f1.Run(parameters);

            i_output1.Load(result1);

            // Create Output object for run 2, set addmp to 1 so that
            // the extra greenhouse gases for the marginal run are
            // emitted and then run the model
            i_output2 = new ModelOutput();

            var f2 = FundModel.GetModel();
            f2["ImpactWaterResources"].Variables["water"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactForests"].Variables["forests"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactHeating"].Variables["heating"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactCooling"].Variables["cooling"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactAgriculture"].Variables["agcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["drycost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["protcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["entercost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactTropicalStorms"].Variables["hurrdam"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactExtratropicalStorms"].Variables["extratropicalstormsdam"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactBioDiversity"].Variables["species"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactDeathMorbidity"].Variables["deadcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactDeathMorbidity"].Variables["morbcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["wetcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["leavecost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["SocioEconomic"].Variables["income"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["Population"].Variables["population"].StoreOutput = true;

            if (AdditionalInitCode != null)
                AdditionalInitCode(f2);

            f2.AddComponent("marginalemission", typeof(Fund.Components.MarginalEmissionComponent), "emissions");
            f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emissionperiod"].SetValue(_emissionyear);
            switch (_gas)
            {
                case MarginalGas.C:
                    f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emission"].Bind("emissions", "mco2");
                    f2["climateco2cycle"].Parameters["mco2"].Bind("marginalemission", "modemission");
                    break;
                case MarginalGas.CH4:
                    f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emission"].Bind("emissions", "globch4");
                    f2["climatech4cycle"].Parameters["globch4"].Bind("marginalemission", "modemission");
                    break;
                case MarginalGas.N2O:
                    f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emission"].Bind("emissions", "globn2o");
                    f2["climaten2ocycle"].Parameters["globn2o"].Bind("marginalemission", "modemission");
                    break;
                case MarginalGas.SF6:
                    f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emission"].Bind("emissions", "globsf6");
                    f2["climatesf6cycle"].Parameters["globsf6"].Bind("marginalemission", "modemission");
                    break;
                default:
                    throw new NotImplementedException();
            }

            var result2 = f2.Run(parameters);

            i_output2.Load(result2);

            Fund28LegacyWeightingCombinations.GetWeightingCombinationsFromName(this.WeightingCombination, out i_weightingCombinations, _emissionyear);

            // Take out growth effect effect of run 2 by transforming
            // the damage from run 2 into % of GDP of run 2, and then
            // multiplying that with GDP of run 1
            for (int year = 1; year < LegacyConstants.NYear; year++)
            {
                for (int region = 0; region < LegacyConstants.NoReg; region++)
                {
                    for (int sector = 0; sector < LegacyConstants.NoSector; sector++)
                    {
                        i_output2.Damages[year, region, (Sector)sector] = (i_output2.Damages[year, region, (Sector)sector] / i_output2.Incomes[year, region]) * i_output1.Incomes[year, region];
                    }
                }
            }

            // Calculate the marginal damage between run 1 and 2 for each
            // year/region/sector
            i_marginalDamages = Damages.CalculateMarginalDamage(i_output1.Damages, i_output2.Damages);

            double[] i_weightedAggregatedDamages = new double[i_weightingCombinations.Length];

            for (int i = 0; i < i_weightingCombinations.Length; i++)
            {
                i_weightingCombinations[i].CalculateWeights(i_output1);
                i_aggregatedDamage = i_weightingCombinations[i].AddDamagesUp(i_marginalDamages, YearsToAggregate, _emissionyear);

                i_weightedAggregatedDamages[i] = i_aggregatedDamage;

                WriteAggregateDamage(RunId, i, i_aggregatedDamage, i_weightingCombinations);

                // Console.Write(i_weightingCombinations[i].Name + ": ");
                // Console.WriteLine(Convert.ToString(i_aggregatedDamage));
            }

            if (m_YearRegionSectorWeightingSchemeCsv != null)
            {
                foreach (var i_Damage in i_marginalDamages)
                {
                    if ((i_Damage.Year >= _emissionyear.Value) && (i_Damage.Year < _emissionyear.Value + this.YearsToAggregate))
                    {
                        for (int k = 0; k < i_weightingCombinations.Length; k++)
                            WriteMarginalDamage(RunId, i_Damage, k, i_weightingCombinations[k][i_Damage.Year, i_Damage.Region], i_weightingCombinations);
                    }
                }
            }

            return i_weightedAggregatedDamages;
        }
Ejemplo n.º 10
0
        public double Start()
        {
            int yearsToRun = Math.Min(1049, EmissionYear.Value + YearsToAggregate);

            var f1 = FundModel.GetModel(storeFullVariablesByDefault: false, years: yearsToRun);
            f1["impactwaterresources"].Variables["water"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactForests"].Variables["forests"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactHeating"].Variables["heating"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactCooling"].Variables["cooling"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactAgriculture"].Variables["agcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["drycost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["protcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["entercost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactTropicalStorms"].Variables["hurrdam"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactExtratropicalStorms"].Variables["extratropicalstormsdam"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactBioDiversity"].Variables["species"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactDeathMorbidity"].Variables["deadcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactDeathMorbidity"].Variables["morbcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["wetcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["leavecost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["socioeconomic"].Variables["income"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["Population"].Variables["population"].StoreOutput = true;

            if (AdditionalInitMethod != null)
                AdditionalInitMethod(f1);

            var result1 = f1.Run(Parameters);

            var i_output1 = new ModelOutput();
            i_output1.Load(result1, years: yearsToRun);

            var f2 = FundModel.GetModel(storeFullVariablesByDefault: false, years: yearsToRun);
            f2["impactwaterresources"].Variables["water"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactForests"].Variables["forests"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactHeating"].Variables["heating"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactCooling"].Variables["cooling"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactAgriculture"].Variables["agcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["drycost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["protcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["entercost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactTropicalStorms"].Variables["hurrdam"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactExtratropicalStorms"].Variables["extratropicalstormsdam"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactBioDiversity"].Variables["species"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactDeathMorbidity"].Variables["deadcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactDeathMorbidity"].Variables["morbcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["wetcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["leavecost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["socioeconomic"].Variables["income"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["Population"].Variables["population"].StoreOutput = true;

            if (AdditionalInitMethod != null)
                AdditionalInitMethod(f2);

            f2.AddComponent("marginalemission", typeof(Fund.Components.MarginalEmissionComponent), "emissions");
            f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emissionperiod"].SetValue(EmissionYear);
            switch (Gas)
            {
                case MarginalGas.C:
                    f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emission"].Bind("emissions", "mco2");
                    f2["climateco2cycle"].Parameters["mco2"].Bind("marginalemission", "modemission");
                    break;
                case MarginalGas.CH4:
                    f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emission"].Bind("emissions", "globch4");
                    f2["climatech4cycle"].Parameters["globch4"].Bind("marginalemission", "modemission");
                    break;
                case MarginalGas.N2O:
                    f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emission"].Bind("emissions", "globn2o");
                    f2["climaten2ocycle"].Parameters["globn2o"].Bind("marginalemission", "modemission");
                    break;
                case MarginalGas.SF6:
                    f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emission"].Bind("emissions", "globsf6");
                    f2["climatesf6cycle"].Parameters["globsf6"].Bind("marginalemission", "modemission");
                    break;
                default:
                    throw new NotImplementedException();
            }

            var result2 = f2.Run(Parameters);

            var i_output2 = new ModelOutput();
            i_output2.Load(result2, years: yearsToRun);

            // Take out growth effect effect of run 2 by transforming
            // the damage from run 2 into % of GDP of run 2, and then
            // multiplying that with GDP of run 1
            for (int year = 1; year < LegacyConstants.NYear; year++)
            {
                for (int region = 0; region < LegacyConstants.NoReg; region++)
                {
                    for (int sector = 0; sector < LegacyConstants.NoSector; sector++)
                    {
                        i_output2.Damages[year, region, (Sector)sector] = (i_output2.Damages[year, region, (Sector)sector] / i_output2.Incomes[year, region]) * i_output1.Incomes[year, region];
                    }
                }
            }

            // Calculate the marginal damage between run 1 and 2 for each
            // year/region/sector
            var i_marginalDamages = Damages.CalculateMarginalDamage(i_output1.Damages, i_output2.Damages);

            var weightingcom = new WeightingCombination();
            if (UseEquityWeights)
            {
                weightingcom.Add(new ConstantDiscountrate(Prtp));
                weightingcom.Add(new EquityWeighting(EmissionYear.Value, -1, Eta));
            }
            else
            {
                weightingcom.Add(new RamseyRegionalDiscounting(Prtp, Eta, EmissionYear.Value));
            }

            weightingcom.CalculateWeights(i_output1);
            var i_aggregatedDamage = weightingcom.AddDamagesUp(i_marginalDamages, YearsToAggregate, EmissionYear);

            return i_aggregatedDamage;
        }
Ejemplo n.º 11
0
        public void WriteAggregateDamage(int RunId, int WeightingschemeId, double Damage, WeightingCombination[] WeightingCombinations)
        {
            if (!_run.CalculateMeanForMonteCarlo && (RunId == -1))
                return;
            else if (!_run.OutputAllMonteCarloRuns && (RunId > 0))
                return;

            if (m_AggregateDamageCsv != null)
            {
                m_AggregateDamageCsv.WriteLine(
                    (_run.OutputVerbal ? _run.Scenario.Name : _run.Scenario.Id.ToString()) +
                    ";" +
                    "" +
                    ";" +
                    "" +
                    ";" +
                    (_run.OutputVerbal ? (RunId == 0 ? "Best guess" : RunId == -1 ? "Mean" : RunId.ToString()) : RunId.ToString()) +
                    ";" +
                    (_run.OutputVerbal ? WeightingCombinations[WeightingschemeId].Name : WeightingschemeId.ToString()) +
                    ";" +
                    Damage.ToString("f15")
                    );

            }
        }
Ejemplo n.º 12
0
        public void DoOneRun(int RunId, WeightingCombination[] i_weightingCombinations, ParameterValues parameters)
        {
            double i_aggregatedDamage;
            ModelOutput i_output1;

            // Create Output object for run 1, set addmp to 0 so that
            // the extra greenhouse gases are not emitted and then run
            // the model
            i_output1 = new ModelOutput();

            var fundWorkflow = new Esmf.Model.ModelTyped<FundWorkflow>();

            var result1 = fundWorkflow.Run(parameters);

            i_output1.Load(result1);

            for (int i = 0; i < i_weightingCombinations.Length; i++)
            {
                i_weightingCombinations[i].CalculateWeights(i_output1);
                i_aggregatedDamage = i_weightingCombinations[i].AddDamagesUp(i_output1.Damages, _run.YearsToAggregate, _emissionYear);

                WriteAggregateDamage(RunId, i, i_aggregatedDamage, i_weightingCombinations);

            }

            //for (int l = 0; l < i_output1.Damages.Count; l++)
            //{
            //    i_Damage = i_output1.Damages[l];
            //    if ((i_Damage.Year >= _emissionYear.Value) && (i_Damage.Year < _emissionYear.Value + _run.YearsToAggregate))
            //    {
            //        for (int k = 0; k < i_weightingCombinations.Length; k++)
            //            WriteDamage(RunId, i_Damage, k, i_weightingCombinations[k][i_Damage.Year, i_Damage.Region], i_weightingCombinations);
            //    }
            //}
        }
Ejemplo n.º 13
0
        public double Start()
        {
            int yearsToRun = Math.Min(1049, EmissionYear.Value + YearsToAggregate);

            var f1 = FundModel.GetModel(storeFullVariablesByDefault: false, years: yearsToRun);

            f1["impactwaterresources"].Variables["water"].StoreOutput   = true;
            f1["ImpactForests"].Variables["forests"].StoreOutput        = true;
            f1["ImpactHeating"].Variables["heating"].StoreOutput        = true;
            f1["ImpactCooling"].Variables["cooling"].StoreOutput        = true;
            f1["ImpactAgriculture"].Variables["agcost"].StoreOutput     = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["drycost"].StoreOutput   = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["protcost"].StoreOutput  = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["entercost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactTropicalStorms"].Variables["hurrdam"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactExtratropicalStorms"].Variables["extratropicalstormsdam"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactBioDiversity"].Variables["species"].StoreOutput    = true;
            f1["ImpactDeathMorbidity"].Variables["deadcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactDeathMorbidity"].Variables["morbcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["wetcost"].StoreOutput    = true;
            f1["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["leavecost"].StoreOutput  = true;
            f1["socioeconomic"].Variables["income"].StoreOutput          = true;
            f1["Population"].Variables["population"].StoreOutput         = true;


            if (AdditionalInitMethod != null)
            {
                AdditionalInitMethod(f1);
            }

            var result1 = f1.Run(Parameters);

            var i_output1 = new ModelOutput();

            i_output1.Load(result1, years: yearsToRun);

            var f2 = FundModel.GetModel(storeFullVariablesByDefault: false, years: yearsToRun);

            f2["impactwaterresources"].Variables["water"].StoreOutput   = true;
            f2["ImpactForests"].Variables["forests"].StoreOutput        = true;
            f2["ImpactHeating"].Variables["heating"].StoreOutput        = true;
            f2["ImpactCooling"].Variables["cooling"].StoreOutput        = true;
            f2["ImpactAgriculture"].Variables["agcost"].StoreOutput     = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["drycost"].StoreOutput   = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["protcost"].StoreOutput  = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["entercost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactTropicalStorms"].Variables["hurrdam"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactExtratropicalStorms"].Variables["extratropicalstormsdam"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactBioDiversity"].Variables["species"].StoreOutput    = true;
            f2["ImpactDeathMorbidity"].Variables["deadcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactDeathMorbidity"].Variables["morbcost"].StoreOutput = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["wetcost"].StoreOutput    = true;
            f2["ImpactSeaLevelRise"].Variables["leavecost"].StoreOutput  = true;
            f2["socioeconomic"].Variables["income"].StoreOutput          = true;
            f2["Population"].Variables["population"].StoreOutput         = true;

            if (AdditionalInitMethod != null)
            {
                AdditionalInitMethod(f2);
            }

            f2.AddComponent("marginalemission", typeof(Fund.Components.MarginalEmissionComponent), "emissions");
            f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emissionperiod"].SetValue(EmissionYear);
            switch (Gas)
            {
            case MarginalGas.C:
                f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emission"].Bind("emissions", "mco2");
                f2["climateco2cycle"].Parameters["mco2"].Bind("marginalemission", "modemission");
                break;

            case MarginalGas.CH4:
                f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emission"].Bind("emissions", "globch4");
                f2["climatech4cycle"].Parameters["globch4"].Bind("marginalemission", "modemission");
                break;

            case MarginalGas.N2O:
                f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emission"].Bind("emissions", "globn2o");
                f2["climaten2ocycle"].Parameters["globn2o"].Bind("marginalemission", "modemission");
                break;

            case MarginalGas.SF6:
                f2["marginalemission"].Parameters["emission"].Bind("emissions", "globsf6");
                f2["climatesf6cycle"].Parameters["globsf6"].Bind("marginalemission", "modemission");
                break;

            default:
                throw new NotImplementedException();
            }

            var result2 = f2.Run(Parameters);

            var i_output2 = new ModelOutput();

            i_output2.Load(result2, years: yearsToRun);

            // Take out growth effect effect of run 2 by transforming
            // the damage from run 2 into % of GDP of run 2, and then
            // multiplying that with GDP of run 1
            for (int year = 1; year < LegacyConstants.NYear; year++)
            {
                for (int region = 0; region < LegacyConstants.NoReg; region++)
                {
                    for (int sector = 0; sector < LegacyConstants.NoSector; sector++)
                    {
                        i_output2.Damages[year, region, (Sector)sector] = (i_output2.Damages[year, region, (Sector)sector] / i_output2.Incomes[year, region]) * i_output1.Incomes[year, region];
                    }
                }
            }

            // Calculate the marginal damage between run 1 and 2 for each
            // year/region/sector
            var i_marginalDamages = Damages.CalculateMarginalDamage(i_output1.Damages, i_output2.Damages);

            var weightingcom = new WeightingCombination();

            if (UseEquityWeights)
            {
                weightingcom.Add(new ConstantDiscountrate(Prtp, EmissionYear.Value));
                weightingcom.Add(new EquityWeighting(EmissionYear.Value, -1, Eta));
            }
            else
            {
                weightingcom.Add(new RamseyRegionalDiscounting(Prtp, Eta, EmissionYear.Value));
            }

            weightingcom.CalculateWeights(i_output1);
            var i_aggregatedDamage = weightingcom.AddDamagesUp(i_marginalDamages, YearsToAggregate, EmissionYear);

            return(i_aggregatedDamage);
        }