public static double HalfPointsProbability()
{
var median = ProbabilityCalculator.CalcMedian() - OFFSET;
var overLineCnt = results.FindAll(res => res.HomeTeamPoints + res.AwayTeamPoints > median).Count;
return(Math.Round((double)overLineCnt / resultsCount, 2));
}
static void Main(string[] args)
{
Console.WriteLine("Calculating probabilities!");
try
{
var results = ReadGameResults();
if (results != null)
{
ProbabilityCalculator.results = results;
ProbabilityCalculator.init();
var winProb = ProbabilityCalculator.WinProbability();
Console.WriteLine($"probability for homeTeam to win is {winProb}");
Console.WriteLine($"probability for awayTeam to win is {1 - winProb}");
var halfPointProb = ProbabilityCalculator.HalfPointsProbability();
Console.WriteLine($"half point probability over the line is {halfPointProb}");
Console.WriteLine($"half point probability under the line is {1 - halfPointProb}");
var winMarginProb = ProbabilityCalculator.WinMarginProbability();
Console.WriteLine($"Home team winning margin probability with <=10pts is {winMarginProb.Home}");
Console.WriteLine($"Home team winning margin probability with >=11pts is {Math.Round(1 - winMarginProb.Home, 2)}");
Console.WriteLine($"Away team winning margin probability with <=10pts is {winMarginProb.Away}");
Console.WriteLine($"Away team winning margin probability with >=11pts is {Math.Round(1 - winMarginProb.Away, 2)}");
Console.WriteLine("calculations complete!");
}
else
{
Console.WriteLine("Failed to calculate probabilities since no data found");
}
}
catch (Exception ex)
{
Console.WriteLine($"Failed to calculate probabilities due to exception {ex.Message}");
}
}
