private double CalculatePlayerFixturePredictedScore(FutureFixture futureFixture, PlayerForm playerForm, IList<Player> allPlayers)
{
var oppositionStrength = _teamStrengthCalculator.CalculateTeamStrength(futureFixture.OppositionClubCode, allPlayers);
var formRelativeToOppositionStrength = playerForm.NormalisedPointsPerGame / oppositionStrength.TeamStrengthMultiplier;
var locationRatio = futureFixture.Home
? _predictorParameters.HomeAdvantageMultiplier
: 1 / _predictorParameters.HomeAdvantageMultiplier;
return formRelativeToOppositionStrength * locationRatio;
}
private static void LogPlayerForm(Player player, PlayerForm playerForm, ILogger logger)
{
logger.Log(Tag.Prediction,
string.Format("{0} {1} - Previous Season: {2} mins, {3} pts",
playerForm.NormalisedPointsPerGame.ToFormatted(), player.Name, playerForm.PreviousSeasonMinutesPlayed, playerForm.PreviousSeasonTotalPointsScored));
}
private PlayerForm CreatePlayerFormFromPastSeason(Season season)
{
var playerForm = new PlayerForm();
if (season != null && season.MinutesPlayed > 0)
{
playerForm.PreviousSeasonTotalPointsScored = season.TotalPointsScored;
playerForm.PreviousSeasonMinutesPlayed = season.MinutesPlayed;
var pointsPerMinute = season.TotalPointsScored / (double)season.MinutesPlayed;
playerForm.NormalisedPointsPerGame = pointsPerMinute * 90;
}
return playerForm;
}
